Introduction
In the world of statistics, understanding the concept of z-scores is crucial for interpreting data and its distribution. This article delves into section 5.3, where we explore the process of finding z-scores based on probabilities, specifically when trying to determine cutoffs for various scenarios. We will look at practical examples such as university admission scores and medical research, wrapping it all up with detailed illustrations and calculations.
What is a Z-Score?
A z-score indicates how many standard deviations an element is from the mean of a data set. The z-score formula is:
[ z = \frac{x - \mu}{\sigma} ]
Where:
- ( z ) is the z-score
- ( x ) is the value in the dataset
- ( \mu ) is the mean of the dataset
- ( \sigma ) is the standard deviation
This standardization process allows researchers to understand how far a particular data point is from the average, which is vital for further analysis, particularly when examining probabilities.
Finding Z-Scores from Probabilities
In section 5.3, we reverse-engineer the process explored in the previous section (5.2), where we calculate probabilities from z-scores. Here, we start with probabilities to calculate corresponding z-scores. This reversal is especially useful in applications like:
- Determining admission criteria for universities based on test scores
- Setting benchmarks in medical studies based on patient age or conditions
Example 1: Finding Z-Score for a Cumulative Area
Let's say we want to find the z-score that corresponds to a cumulative area of 0.3632. We assess whether the z-score should be positive or negative. Since this area is below the mean (0.5000), we look for a negative z-score. According to our z-table, we identify the closest area, and we find:
- For area 0.3632, the corresponding z-score is -0.35.
Example 2: Z-Score with Area to the Right
Next, consider the problem of finding a z-score for which 10.75% of the distribution's area is to its right (equivalent to finding an area of 0.1075 to the right). This requires us to convert to the left side:
- Area to the left = 1 - 0.1075 = 0.8925.
- Using the positive z-table, we find the closest area is 0.8925, which corresponds to a z-score of 1.24.
Example 3: Finding Z-Score for the Middle 95%
Next, let’s examine the scenario of wanting to find a z-score such that 95% of the distribution's area lies between negative z and positive z. We know that this means:
- Remaining area (2.5% on each side) would have to be calculated, leading to the area we find in the z-table.
- Using our z-table, z = 1.96 is the appropriate score for our purposes.
Percentiles and Their Applications
Percentiles provide additional insight into how a particular score compares to the rest of the distribution. If we want to find the z-score corresponding to the 83rd percentile, it means that 83% of observations lie below this point. This translates to an area of 0.83.
Using the z-table, we look for the area that’s closest to 0.8300. This would translate to a z-score approximately equal to 0.95.
Converting Z-Scores Back to Data
Understanding how to revert from z-scores to the original data is equally important. Once we calculate the z-score, we can use the rearranged formula:
[ x = \mu + z \cdot \sigma ]
For example, for a set of cat weights:
- Mean (( 9 )) and Standard Deviation (( 2 ))
- For z = 1.96:
[ x = 9 + (2 \cdot 1.96) = 12.92 ] and rounding would give approximately 13 pounds.
Example Conversion
If we had a z-score of -0.44, we could determine the weight as follows:
- [ x = 9 + (2 \cdot -0.44) = 8.12 ] leading to approximately 8 pounds.
Conclusion
The relationship between z-scores and data probabilities is fundamental in statistical analysis. Understanding how to navigate between these two forms and utilize z-scores effectively is crucial for making informed decisions in academic, medical, and various research scenarios. By mastering these calculations, you not only enhance your analytical capabilities but also ensure accurate interpretations and applications of statistical data in real-world situations.
so today we're looking at section 5.3 and um we're going to kind of do the opposite
a z-score so that we could find the probability that um that piece of data did or didn't
occur or what were the chances that it would occur and in section five three what we're
going to do is we're actually going to start with the probability and work our way back to the z-score and then from
the z-score work our way back to a piece of data so that if you wanted to ask a question like um
for instance reading from the paragraph here for instance a university might want to know the lowest test score a
we're kind of looking at what piece of data would we find acceptable given this situation so the lowest test score
or a medical researcher might want to know the cutoff values for selecting the middle 90 percent of patients by age
and so we're going to kind of undo the process that we have done in section five one and five two or work it
not found on our chart um the chart that we have doesn't cover every single four digit number that there is between zero
and one so sometimes if we can't find the exact match on the chart we go with the number that is closest on the chart
so the first thing i kind of have to think to myself is whether i think my z-score should be a positive z-score or
a negative z-score if i'm looking for an area of 0.3632 that means that we haven't made it to
we are looking for a z-score of 0.3632 that goes along with an area of 0.3632 um so let me grab my highlighter here
um 0.36 i'm looking down towards the bottom like when i get to negative point four i'm noticing i've got uh point
i actually find that specific value on the chart here and again sometimes you won't find the
specific value sometimes we'll find the closest one this one actually happens to be there
um so some things to think about there they are saying 10.75 of the distribution's area to the right
to be 0.1075 the thing is when i go over to my charts my charts give me area to the left of
the z-score not to the right of the z-score so my first step here would be to take 1 and subtract
again when i go to my charts my charts give me the left side not the right side um this time my number is bigger than .5
find the exact four digit number in the chart that's great if you can't then we go through and we
try and find the number that is closest and sometimes you might have it be exactly in between and we'll look at
so in the center here this area we want this area to be 0.95 so this area is supposed to be 0.9500
the thing is if i go look at 0.9500 my chart is assuming that i started on the very left side and worked my way all
the way across to the positive z and right now i don't have the area of this little space added in here
um it the 0.95 isn't complete enough of a number i need that area as well and so if 95 percent
and so if i take and i um divide five percent by two since i have two outsides um i get two point five percent
and so the area right here is zero point zero two five zero and so if i want to know this z score
this z score is going to be made up of both of those pieces of area so i would need to take the 0.0250
and i would need to add the 0.9500 to get the area starting on the left side working its way all the way over to
a positive z-score because it's above the mean and they told us we were looking for a positive z-score
so if i bring that chart over we are looking for 0.9750 and so if i go looking in there 0.9750
they didn't ask us for the negative z score but technically this would be 1.96 and this one would be negative 1.96
the positive value but the idea when you want to find the um z-score between two values um is first of all
you got to think about the fact that the percentage they gave you is the number in between those
and unfortunately for your chart you need all the area from the left over to that final z-score so you are going to
have to figure out how much area is in that little space that we don't have add those two areas together and then that
we're going to be doing percentiles and a lot of times when you do the percentiles this is where the areas in
our chart don't exactly match so the things we're looking up aren't exactly there and so i just want to talk through
a couple scenarios there i'm going to actually start with the blue scenario and let's say that the area we are
and i can find a z-score of 1.17 that has an area of 0.8790 and so this number is somewhere in
that would be our z-score that we would use so if you can't find the area exactly you go look for
the one that's closest if i go over to the black example here uh this time our area is .0521
in the middle of these two is not closer to one or the other it's exactly in the middle of those two
and so if your area is exactly in the middle of two z-scores what you're gonna do is take the two z-scores and add them
by two i'm going to get negative 1.625 my z score is actually going to have three decimal places in this case so if
if you are exactly in the middle of two z-scores you're going to average them and use that as your z-score
um the second thing we want to look at before we go to the next problem is again sometimes they're going to use
please remember that that means 83 percent of the data is below that x value and 17 of the data is above that x
two here we are supposed to find the z-score given a percentile and um so i'm actually going to start
with number two because number two is going to be the fastest easiest one here um for number two if you are looking for
the 50th percentile that means 50 below and 50 above what that means is that you are actually at the mean
zero because um on our standard normal curve distribution um the mean is in the center and the mean and z equals zero
are in the same spot so we don't need any charts or anything extra for that one um now i'm gonna go back to number
one number one says to find p sub five so the fifth percentile and so again if i think about that
what that is saying is that um we are looking for five percent to be below and 95 to be above so my z score is
and so i'm going to use the negative chart and i'm gonna go look up point five zero zero
and when i look at the chart i am in between those two numbers and i am not closer to one or the other i am exactly
so if your area is not in the cur or not in the chart you are going to look for the closest value if your
area is exactly in the middle of two values you write down the two z scores you add them up you divide by two that
the 0.1000 i'm just trying to show you how you would know which area you're looking for we always take the area to
the left so that would be the point nine zero zero zero so um that's a number bigger than point
so i'm going to go with that z-score that z-score is 1.28 so my answer for my z-score my z-score
to your chart you look up the area you find the z-score um a reminder we're trying to get back
to the piece of data and so the next thing we need to talk about is how do we find the data
if we have a z-score we've spent a lot of time going the other direction here's your piece of
data go find a z-score now we want to go backwards and so what you'll notice here is they just kind of undo our formula
piece of data we subtract the mean and then we divide by standard deviation so we need to undo this process we would
like to get the x by itself so i'm going to get rid of dividing by standard deviation by multiplying both
sides by standard deviation that gives me its standard deviation times z should equal x minus mu
and then to get x by itself to get rid of subtracting mu i'm going to add mu to the other side and so i get standard
basically our piece of data is found by taking the mean and adding the standard deviation times z
so we're going to do what we've been doing on the next example except then they are going to ask us to actually
find the piece of data so once we find the z-score we will take the mean and the standard deviation and the z-score
we will plug into this formula and we will be able to find the piece of data so example three says a veterinarian
records the weights of cats treated at a clinic the weights are normally distributed with a mean of nine pounds
and a standard deviation of two pounds find the weight x corresponding to each z score interpret the results
and so our formula to figure out a piece of data is to take the mean and add standard deviation times our
and number three technically hopefully in your head you know the answer here hopefully you're thinking to yourself i
know this answer the answer is nine if my z score is zero then my piece of data is the mean and so the mean is nine
nine plus two times zero and we get a piece of data of nine notice a couple things about our answers
here um a z z-score of 1.96 that is going to be to the right of the mean and so i would expect my piece of
expect to get an answer that's bigger than nine and we did um for number two my z-score is negative
which means that i am sitting to the left of the mean and so i expect that my piece of data that i find is going to be
smaller than the mean which it was and again for number three my z-score is zero which means i expect to be exactly
okay so for number 31 here it says in a survey of women in the united states ages 20 to 29 the mean height was 64.2
part a says what height represents the 95th percentile part b says what height represents the 43rd percentile and part
should be 0.95 so my z score is going to be somewhere over here this is what we're looking for
0.9505 and i my my number is exactly in the middle of those and so we've got 1.64 we've got 1.65
use that formula that we were just using and so my formula is that my piece of data is equal to the mean
and i'm going to add to that 2.9 times the z-score that i got which was 1.645 and so if i take 64.2 and i add 2.9
we would probably round this to a whole amount usually go back if the mean is one decimal place then your data was
typically a whole amount because usually the mean has one more decimal place past the data and so our piece of data would
i'm going to skip over b and i'm just going to do c because it's the same kind of situation again
on c they don't really tell you the percentile they do they just don't quite tell it to
so the first quartile represents the first 25 percent of data or 0.2500 of our area um so this time i'm going to
negative but we kind of ignore that um i'm going to subtract .251 and this one is a distance of .0017
away and this one again i know your calculator is going to tell you it's a negative but you're looking at distance
wise which value are you closer to and this one is a smaller amount and so we would say we are closer to the 0.2514
and so if we were rounding data to a whole number again we're kind of going backwards so the mean has one decimal so
the undergraduate grade point average of students taking the law school admission test in a recent year can be
approximated by a normal distribution as shown in the figure what is the minimum ugpa that would
middle fifty percent of ugpas lie um so let's start with a um notice in the figure there
they give us um the mean and the standard deviation so the mean grade point average for the undergraduates is
would be that would still allow you to be placed in the top five percent so top five percent means that you need
and i'm pretty certain we've looked this one up a couple times but let's go ahead and find it again
.9495 and i get .9505 and so we are in the middle of those two z or those two areas and so my z-score
then i gotta find the piece of data and so i'm using this formula x equals the mean plus the standard deviation
and since those numbers are two decimal places our piece of data should be one decimal place
sure you read what my lab math says if it says round to two decimal places round to one decimal place follow the
directions there but in general data tends to be one decimal place shorter than the mean or the standard deviation
so what are the two middle values um that you can have that will uh the gpas that will basically put you in the
middle 50 percent so again let's start by kind of thinking about what that looks like graphically
reminder that the standard normal curve is symmetric so we are going to be looking for two z-scores
and so if i try and look up a z-score right now i'm not going to get a correct answer um if the area there is 50
that means there's 50 percent of the area left in those two ends and so that means that the area down
0.7500 so that's the area that we would want to look up so i'm going to bring back my positive z
this one or this one 0.7486 and point seven five one seven um point seven four eight six is point
the way here um all right so we have a z score of 0.67 now a reminder on this one you're
supposed to have two z scores and so this z score is going to be 0.67 and this z score since we were in the
middle of those two with our 50 percent this one's going to be negative 0.67 and so we need to find two pieces of
data we need to find one piece of data for z being negative 0.67 and we need to find a second piece of
i get um a piece of data of 3.2394 and so we would say approximately 3.2 and for our other z-score we would take
and that would be approximately 3.5 so if your gpa is between 3.2 and 3.5 you would be in the middle 50 percent of
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