Impending Middle East War Escalation: US-Iran Conflict and Global Impact

This weekend we have reached a turning point in the war. It is possible that in a few hours or by tomorrow we will reach

the point of no return. Donald Trump has threatened the Iranians saying that on Tuesday, if the Iranians still refuse to

open the Strait of Humus, then the Americans will destroy the Iranian power plants

and bridges and universities. Basically, the Americans will start attacking critical civil infrastructure which will

force Iranians to strike hard against the GCC, the oil fields, the dissalination plants, the universities

as well. And this would mean that the world would lose 20% of its energy supply.

And this would be catastrophe for the global economy. It would uh de-industrialize the world

and would create global famine among other problems. Okay. So next few hours, next day um we could reach the point of

no return in this war. Hopefully Trump is bluffing because he has known to bluff before.

In fact, he's issued many ultimatums to Ran before and then he sort of tackled, right? Trump always chickens out and he

said, "You know what? I said a day, but I'll give you a week instead." But this time, I want to show you that it's

different. I want to show you that this weekend the Americans went allin. They launched a ground invasion. It failed.

And instead of saying, you know what, um, we probably can't beat Iran. Let's negotiate a peace deal. What the

Americans will do is they will go all in now and launch a full-scale ground invasion called the national draft and

the world will never be the same again. Okay, so this is a tweet that Donald Trump um sent to the Iranians and he

calls them crazy bastards. Um and he says praise be to Allah. So a lot of people think he is now the

reigns. Clearly he's angry at the Radians. All right. All right. So, um,

the Americans and the Israelis have constantly escalated attacks against civilian targets in Iran. So, uh, Trump

ordered the destruction of Iran's largest bridge. Okay. All right. Right here. Right. You guys

see that? Okay. And this is considered a war crime because you're not supposed to t target target civilian infrastructure.

Now, you can make the argument that this is dual use, meaning that the military uses it as well, but everything is dual

use, right? Because the military also uses water, they also use electricity, their kids also go to university. So, um

there's a great fear now that we already at the point of no return. And the Iranians themselves have promised to

start to attack universities in the GCC as well. Okay. In retaliation. Um so if Trump were to destroy the

Iranian power plants, uh this would be devastating for the Iranian economy. And there's news now that Iran is organizing

a uh protest where young people are asked to go to power plants and form a human

chain so that if the jets come destroy the power plants they will be destroyed as well. Um so some people think that

okay this is the Iranians calling the bluff of Trump. That's not a good idea because the first day of the war, the

Americans killed uh 168 school girls in southern Iran. So this shows that the Iranian the Americans and the Israelis

don't really care about human life. Um but by doing this, if the Americans actually do destroy uh power plants and

they do kill a lot of young people in the process, what this would do is galvanize the nation into total war.

Okay. So what's important to understand is that um throughout this war there have been

different voices in Iran. Okay. Some like the the Asafic Refugeary Guard want total war. But there are also some who

are worried about the economic damage because of this war. They're also worried about giving power to too too

much giving too much power to the military. Okay. But if Donald Trump goes and attacks these power plants, then the

Iranians will be going to total war, they will be totally committed to destroying the American military

presence in the Middle East as well as the global economy. Okay? And unfortunately, the Americans in the

Shis don't really care because they're committed to destroying um Iran as a viable nation state. Already we are

seeing increases in fuel prices. Okay? So if you are in the um

red, it means that you've seen prices go up a lot. Okay, if you are in the red, so America, Australia, um they've seen

prices skyrocket. Uh China has also seen prices skyrocket as well as well as Europe. This is only just the beginning.

Um we can we can expect gas prices to skyrocket so much that essentially collapses the

civilian aviation industry meaning meaning that in the future you want to fly it might cost you 10 times as much

as it does now. Okay. And this will happen very very quickly. But again the main issue and I need to emphasize this.

The main issue is not the fuel. The main issue is the fertilizer. And the fertilizer is important because

you need fertilizer to grow food. And we are in the planting season. You guys don't know this, but it is because

fertilizer that we are that we are allowed to support 8 billion people. If we do not have access to fertilizer, we

can only grow enough food to support one to two billion people. And unfortunately this means that Africa

um and parts of South South Asia a lot of people there will starve to death. So the main concern is famine. Okay, not

airline tickets. All right, let's continue. All right, so as this war is progressing, we need to

step back and recognize that this is a global war. So, um, the the Ukrainians use drones to attack and destroy an oily

pot, an oil terminal in Russia. And this means now that 40% 40% guys of Russia's oil exports have gone offline,

right? So what's happening is that not only is the server home was closed but the

Americans are also attacking uh Russia's oil. Okay. So you have drone strikes in terminals but also you don't rec you

don't see this in the news but also there's um a basically a naval blockade. So if you are a Russian uh oil tanker

the American if the Americans come and catch you they'll take your oil. Okay. So this basically piracy.

So in other words, the American strategy before was okay, before we were the world's uh global reserve currency and

as a result we uh encouraged global trade but now that we are not but now that our economy

is suffering well let's just control the sea lanes. Okay. So that's American strategy moving forward. All right. Um,

some major news from Germany is that if you are a German male under 45, okay, basically from 17 to 45, this age room,

this age group, you are not allowed to leave the country for more than 3 months without

army permission. This is a prelude to a national draft. Okay? And why is Germany doing this?

Because Germany is an industrial nation. And if Russian energy supply goes offline, if energy from the GCC goes

offline, Germany has no choice but to remilitarize and create its own energy supplies. Okay? So, Germany must go to

war. It has absolutely no choice in the matter. All right? So, let's talk briefly about

what's going to happen over the next year. So as I said before, the United States was the global reserve currency

and that mean meant basically that for every transaction that you made with US dollars, they could tax you. Okay?

Because they could inflate the price of the US dollar. But now that people are choosing to opt out of the US dollar,

for example, in China, people are buying more gold, right? And people are using other currencies. America in order to

maintain its empire has to change its strategy. Now the main source of American power is its ability to control

sea lanes. Okay? Because it has military bases all around the world. Okay? So in the red these are all areas with US

bases and before it used these US bases in order to maintain global trade. But with nations choosing

to opt out of your system, now your option, now your strategy is to blockade them, right? Could enable blockade,

starve them of resources, which forces them to come beg to you for trade access. Okay, so we've gone from a

strategy where America guaranteed global trade to America basically being a mafia state, being pirates and allowing you to

use um seal lanes and giving you trade access. Okay, does that make sense? And believe it or not, but America does not

actually need to do that much work in order to control trade around the world. it just it just needs to control certain

trade or um certain choke points. Okay. So the Panama Canal is one choke point and that's why about a third of

um America's navy is deployed to the Caribbean right now. All right. And its main purpose is to block off trade

um in the Western Hemisphere. So if you are China, if you are Japan and you are South Korea, if you want to access

Western resources, Western hemisphere resources, you need the permission from the US government. And the um example of

course is Venezuela where they remove the president and now they basically have a blockade over Venezuela. And so

the Venezuelan government is very cooperative. Okay, they're basically over obedient. There's um and so what we

can expect next is for Trump to exert authority over Greenland. Why? Because this is the Arctic choke point. Okay,

which gives you access to Canada uh and to Europe as well. We're going to also expect um America to basically create a

choke point over the straight home moves. Right? So right now the issue is that the Iranians control the st. But

the Americans can also choose to blockade the shoo. Okay? Does that make sense? All right. The major choke point

in the world of course is something called the straight of Malaka. Why? Because that this is where China

gets most of its resources from Africa from the Middle East. Okay, through this very small choke point and again

unfortunately there are lots of US military bases in this area. So as long as America is able to maintain these

three major choke points, the Panama Canal um the Middle East and Malaka oh and also sorry Greenland as well then

America can control naval access okay trade access maritime navigation it can control all these things and so what's

going to happen is this the big event this year moving forward is that Russia will militarize its shuttle fleet.

Okay. Basically, Russia has a channel fleet about a thousand uh ships. It will provide mercenaries to the ships and

then it will start to uh engage America in the oceans. The point is not to defeat the American Navy. You can't do

that. Okay? The point is to create a war of attrition where you know that the Americans will have problems rebuilding

these ships and these ships are pretty old as well and the sailors are on them are pretty tired. So you just force them

into conflict and then this naval capacity of the United States will degrade over time. Okay, this is

something to look out for over the next year or two years. There's conflict in the seas that will arise between Russia

and the United States. Okay. And then you ask yourself, okay, well, how about China? Because China is actually the

main beneficiary of um oceanic trade and China is going to do China, which is to say that China is going to try to

negotiate between Russia and America and try to triangulate the two and try to come to peace with all two. Okay? And

that often means paying both off, paying both the Russians and paying the the Americans off. And and that's what

that's what happened in May when Trump visits China, right? Okay. We'll talk talk more about that later on.

Okay. So, the big news this weekend and this something I want to focus on for the rest of lecture is

the Americans said that one of their one of their jets, it's called an F-15. This about a $90 million plane. Okay. It was

shot down over uh Iran. Okay. Um basically in uh this area right here.

And you ask yourself, okay, the Americans have aeros supremacy over Iran. So how is it possible for the

Iranians shoot down um a plane? And the answer is this. The US Air Force is not designed to fight a long war. It's

designed to fight at most a two-eek war. If you fight for too long, you have certain issues. One issue is

maintenance. Okay? Which is these are very expensive planes. They require a lot of

maintenance. But if they're flying too much, if they're if they have too much work, they suffer from wear and tear.

Okay. Another issue is just fatigue where these pilots are being asked to work too hard, they get tired, they get

lazy. Now the last thing is this Iranian um resilience. Okay? And all this means is that as

you're bombing the Iranians, the Iranians have to figure out how to strike back at you. Their radar systems

don't really work. So what they use is use heatseeking missiles. Okay? So rather rather than trying to figure out

where you are, this five missiles up in the air and hope and hope to log on to your hit signature and knock you down.

Okay? All right. So over time, all this means is that as this war progresses, if you insist on fighting a ear war, you're

going to lose more and more planes as your pilots get tired, as men issues arise, as Iranians become much more

creative in their response. Okay? So, a pilot was shot down and two pilots were able to eject safely out of their plane.

Now, it is the policy of the American military to leave no man behind. And this is the and and the Americans

are one one of the few militaries actually do this where if you're behind enemy lines, they will try to rescue

you. and they spent years training you on how to invade uh enemy capttors. They'll spend a lot of resources trying

to save you. And the propaganda is that this is to show you how Americans really value

uh human life and it's something Americans are very proud of. But another reason why Americans do this is this

optics, which is that that the Americans believe that the military is invincible

and they spend a lot of money and resources in order to create this image, this aura of invisibility and

invisibility. So if the Iranians are able to capture a pilot and have him appear on Iranian TV, this is a huge

propaganda win for the Iranians. Meaning this meaning that if the Americans the Americans will try your best the

Americans will try their best to save you but they can't save you and there's a risk that the enemy will capture you

they rather have you killed okay because they can't afford to lose this propaganda war for the Americans

everything is optics as I will show you later on this is going to be a huge issue in this war okay as this war

progresses now there are a lot of issues with um the story that's being told to us.

Okay, the Americans said that they have successfully evacuated both pilots. They have saved both pilots. But the issue is

this. The issue is that we know that um the Americans created a makeshift landing strip, basically an airport, a

small airport 200 kilometers from um where the airman actually

was knocked down. So he had he had to hike a long way in order to get to Lenning strip. Also he was injured. I

mean he he broke his ankle or something. Okay, so that was very very hard to do. Also, he's trying to evade uh enemy

capture. Okay, so this story doesn't really make sense. And why did the Americans decide to create a landing

strip here rather some place someplace closer? And why would you need 155 planes for this operation? Right? Aren't

you better off with just one or two to like avoid enemy fire? So, this is a very strange story, but it gets weirder.

Okay. Um, it turns out that the Americans

basically spent a lot of resources to to save the pilot. It took 48 hours and the CIA created a lot of distractions and

the um Americans spent spent a lot of resources to save the man while the Iranians were trying to capture him.

Okay. And this led to the destruction of very expensive American planes. Okay. The these are called C130. So they're

transport planes and they were destroyed in the rescue operation. Now the American story is that these planes were

caught in the sand. They couldn't lift off. So Del Force, the commandos who are trying to save the pilot, they blew up

the um planes themselves. Okay. And as you can see, the Americans in this operation, they lost a lot of expensive

planes. The estimates are the Americans lost $300 million in planes. And even though the Americans say that there were

no casualties in this rescue, we can expect that there were casualties in this rescue because a lot of planes were

destroyed. Okay? And again, these are very expensive planes. And throughout this war, the Americans

have lost quite a few planes. Um the C um uh 130 are extremely um expensive. Okay.

All right. Okay. All right. So, this has led people to

question whether or not the narrative is true or not. Now, you can make the argument that this narrative is true.

You can make the argument that the American military prides itself on no man left behind. So, they will do

whatever they can move heaven and earth to save that person. And that's something that the Americans take pride

in. But again there are issues with this narrative. So this is um a man named Arnon Petron and on Twitter he explains

that the story doesn't really make sense. Okay. So the first thing is how did a

fighter jet American fighter jet get knocked down in Iran when the Americans have said that they have a supremacy

over the country? Another issue is that um the weapons director, sorry, the weapons systems officer is a colonel. A

colonel is a very high ranking individual in American military. So why would he participate in this operation?

That's very strange. Um, and even though he was injured, seriously wounded according to Trump, he still managed to

hike up a 7,000 ft mountain ridge line and hide in a crib in the Zag mountains for 48 hours despite his wounds. Also,

we don't know who he is. He He's never been identified. He was never interviewed by the press, which is

unusual because once because if you rescue the man, you make him into a national TV star, right? So, there are a

lot of issues with this story. All right. So, um, Emmer, could you do me a favor and just read the summary?

>> Okay. So, to sum up, anti-aircraft equipment that supposedly didn't exist shot down

an F-15 and apparently an A-10 Warthog. The same day, a seriously wounded man climbed a 1 uh 2.1 km uh kilome

mountain. The US seized an airfield 200 miles inside a country it's at war with next to one of its most strategic

nuclear sites and deployed hundreds of troops all apparently unimpeded. Lost two planes to sand and destroyed their

own helicopters. Videos show heavy clashes, missiles raining down, but not a single person got even wounded. And

the man at the center of it all, nobody knows who he is. Completely anonymous. zero pictures, but Trump says he is safe

and sound and so is the rescued Aton Warthog pilot who also remains anonymous. Okay, so again, this story

makes absolutely no sense. Um, you we don't understand why they had to build an airport. We don't understand how

these planes got destroyed. And the fact that there are no casualties absolutely makes no sense whatsoever. Okay, so

maybe something else is going on and people online are speculating that this was actually a failed ground invasion

and the mission was to sneak into Iran's nuclear power plant located in the area and steal Iran's uh enriched uranium

which it would need to build a nuclear weapon. Okay? And by doing that you deny the Iranians capacity to build a nuclear

weapon and you can declare a victory. Okay? All right. So, what's the evidence for this? Well, on March 7th, 2020 uh

2026, so um at the beginning of this war, a journalist named Barack David uh Barack Ravid wrote an article in Axios

uh which is a Washingtonbased uh media outlet saying that the US is considering spending special sending special forces

to seize Iran's nuclear stock power. Okay. Now, Ver Rabbit is is famous in in Washington DC because he's very close

with the Israelis. He himself is Israeli. So, he's able to get a lot of information from the government. Okay.

So, from March 7th onward, there was news reporting that the Americans would insert special forces to steal the

uranium. No one took this seriously because it's so stupid. Are you seriously going to send in like a

hundred guys into the middle of Iran and like hope they can sneak into a military base and steal that uranium and

then run away? THAT'S JUST NO ONE WOULD do that. Okay, so everyone's like, "This is just this is just a scar.

This is just disinformation." Okay, no one took it seriously. I didn't take this seriously at all. But then

4 days ago, sorry not 4 days, a week ago, the Washington Post leaks a Pentagon plan to do exactly

that. And it's a very detailed plan that involves hundreds or thousands of troops. Okay. And the idea is to build a

leting strip near the power plant in order to land forces, in order to land um equipment.

So, this is a very detailed plan. The problem, so when this first came out, again, I didn't take it seriously

because this is so Are you seriously going to build an airport by yourself in the middle of Iran and hope

the Iranians don't notice and you're going to land a thousand troops in the middle of mountains where

they're going to rain missiles on you? It makes no sense what whatsoever. Okay. But unfortunately,

if you just look at what happened this weekend, this is the plan they used where they sent 155 aircraft to try to

create a landing strip. They sent in special forces. It was exact exactly the plan that Washington Post reported on.

Okay. But then the question is, wait a minute here. This is a top secret military plan. How did the Washington

Post get this? Well, the answer is because we assume that some generals gave it to them. All right. Peter Hex,

the secretary of war for Donald Trump, fired the top generals for

the military. And we don't know why. There was never a reason given, but we

can suspect what happened was this. Donald Trump asked the generals to come up with a plan to steal the uranium. And

the generals are like, "Let's just humor him. Okay, let's come up with this stupid insane plan that there's no way

this guy would agree to." And then we'll forget about it. They present to Donald Trump and Donald Trump's like, "THIS IS

A BRILLIANT PLAN. THIS IS A GREAT MOVIE. LET'S DO THIS, GUYS." THE GENERALS are like, "Oh my god, he is insane.

Oh my god, we are so screwed, man. And they refuse to carry it out. So Peter XF is like, well then you're fired. Okay.

And then Peter XF orders the new generals to execute this plan. So again, we don't know what happened.

We will never know what happened, but the evidence suggests that this this might have been a failed ground

invasion. Another piece of evidence to suggest that this was a fail gun invasion with the intention of stealing

the uranium is that the Iranians were able to recover ID from

dur in the crime side. Okay. And it turns out that this woman happens to specialize in nuclear technology, an

engineer. Why would you need an engineer who specializ in nuclear technology to rescue a pilot?

Right. That's kind of strange. And the Americans have done stupid things like this before. Okay. So, in

1980, in 1980, um the Americans implemented something

called Operation Eagle Claw. And the idea was that at this time the Iranians had taken

hostages, American hostages in Tran, the American embassy. Okay. So Jimmy Carter the president authorized a rescue

operation. So but Iran was too big. So what they did was the American military set up a foreign operating base in the

desert halfway between uh Persian Gulf and Tran. When they landed in their base there there was a sandstorm and a lot of

their planes malfunction and they recognize that oh my god it's really hard to go through such an operation in

Iran. So we should just go home. Okay. So that was 1980 when Americans were were pretty sane.

Unfortunately, Americans are no longer sane. Okay. This is June 3rd when the Americans swept into Venezuela and

kidnapped their president Maduro, thus ending the conflict between Venezuela and America. This is great TV. The plan

worked out perfectly. It showed that Delforce was invincible. And unfortunately, Donald Trump believes

this, okay? He believes that we did this in Venezuela, we can do this in Iran. And this explains how and why Donald

Trump would agree to such an insane plan as to try to build an American military base in the middle of your enemy. Okay.

So the main message here is that whoever is leaving America whether it's Donald Trump or other people for whatever

reason they believe that optics is all that matters. Okay they think that reality is a movie a Hollywood movie is

if they can script it properly then the movie will turn out to be a wonderful wonderful thing. Okay, this is a war

about optics rather than strategy and unfortunately this is just how America's going to fight the war from

now on. Okay, so let's just discuss what you need to win a war. If you are fighting a war, what are three things

you need to look at? Okay, and there are three things and that's it. First thing you want to look at is economics.

Okay, economics. Second thing you want to look at is organization.

The third thing you want to look at is logistics. All right. So, what what what do I mean

by this? Well, the first thing is resource management. In other words, you're trying to win a

war as cheaply and as quickly as possible. Okay? Unfortunately, right now, the

Americans are not fighting a war of economics. If you're spending $300 million in military equipment in order

to rescue a pilot, you're not going to win this war. Okay? So, econ economics is really m is really important. Second

is idea of organization which is the implementation of strategy. Right? So you have a strategy and then

you implement it. And here what's really important is the simpler the strategy

the easier easier it is to implement. Okay? You want the strategy to be very simple because you have to organize it

implement it. So if you are trying to build an air base in the middle of Iran so you can extract extract uranium from

Iranians that's not a good organization. Okay, this thing is going to blow up in your face. The third issue is logistics

which is just supply. Okay, supply. Making sure that your forces have the necessary equipment, the resources in

order to fight the war effectively. And right now the Americans are not concerned with any of these issue. E

economics, organization and logistics. But these are the three major issues that you need to figure out if

you want to win a war. Okay? And unfortunately, right now, the Americans are too much focused on optics

and narrative. So that's why I think the Americans will ultimately lose this war because the

Iranians are actually fighting a real war where they're trying to win the war as cheaply as possible with where

they're implementing a very simple strategy that allows for proper organization and they and they are

trying to um maintain logistics. Okay, the Americans are just trying to uh win the war

in the most Hollywood fashion as possible and this is going to lead to disaster both in the short term and the

long term. So the question then is why Americans like this and unfortunately the answer is because there's too much

cooperation between Hollywood and the Pentagon. All right. So this is a movie saving part saving part right in the and

this was made in the year 1998. Okay. And this is one of the um highest growing the highest grossing films in

Hollywood history where a private uh named Ryan of course he is lost behind enemy lines in the

Europe and his brothers all killed. So his mother writes a very angry letter to General Marshall and says, "All my sons

are dead except for one and he's missing." And so General Marshall is like, "We can't have this, okay? This is

this makes us look bad. We have to win the home front." Okay, Europe, this warfront, it's secondary to the home

front. We need to make sure that the American people are fully behind this war. So he sends a team led by uh this

man played by Tom Hanks to go and save Private Ryan. And they do, but at the cost of his life. Okay. And this movie

is based on a letter that Abraham Lincoln wrote to a mother in the American Civil War. Okay. 1864. And this

considered one Abraham Lincoln's most um brilliant pieces of writing. Okay. So um Amber,

could you help me read this, please? Dear madam, I have been shown in the files of the war department a statement

of the adjunant general of Massachusetts that you are the mother of five sons who have

died gloriously on the field of battle. I feel how weak and fruitless must be any words of mine which should attempt

to beguile you from the grief of a loss so overwhelming. But I cannot refrain from tendering to you the consolation

that may be found in the thanks of the republic they died to save. I pray that our heavenly father may as sewage the

anguish of your bare >> bereiement >> bereiement and leave you only the

cherished memory of the loved and lost and the solemn pride that must be yours to have laid so costly a sacrifice upon

the altar of freedom. Yours very sincerely and respectfully. A Lincoln. >> Great. Great. Okay. Um, the sacrifice

upon the altar of freedom. Okay. So, our democracy, our republic is our God and our sacrifice is worth it as long as we

can maintain our freedom and our liberty. Okay? And this is the defining

theology of the American military. All right. Um, this has led to the military becoming more of a

propaganda machine. Okay, so this is the movie Blackhawk Down. If you saw the movie, then it's about these special

forces, Delta Force that go in and save a pilot uh when they are when his helicopter was

brought down in uh Somalia. Okay. Okay. And this was a b based on a book by Mark Balden

writing about the incident which happened in the late '9s. Okay. All right. The problem is that this movie is

complete BS. In the book, what happened was that the helicopter was brought down and the pilot was taken hostage by the

Somali. But he was treated very well and eventually he was allowed to go home after the government paid a ransom.

Okay, that's what happened in real life. But in the movie, what happened was that Delta Force went in and saved the pilot

from those trying to kidnap him. And this goes back to the to the mythology of No Men Left Behind. Now, there's a

very important scene in Black Hawkdown where a general confronts Delta Force and Delta Force was created for

operations like this. And what and what the general says to Delta Force is you guys are a bunch of cowboys. And what

he's saying is that you guys, you double force, you special forces, you guys never you guys think you're superior to

everyone. You think that we all revolve around you. You think that we we should all serve you. You guys are ego-driven.

All you care about is glory for yourself. And eventually your ego, your arrogance are going to be are going to

be your downfall as well as the downfall of the American military. Okay. Um this is a movie. This is Jessica

Lynch. And in 2003, she was serving in the war in Iran, Iraq. actually Iraq, sorry. And

her co her um her team got lost and they were ambushed by the Iraqis and then she was um kidnapped. But then because she

was injured, the military, the Iraqi military sent her to a hospital, a civil hospital. And the people in the hospital

treated her very very well and they actually tried to send her home in an ambulance. But when the ambulance tried

to reach the Americans, Americans bombed the ambulance. So the ambulance had to turn back and but but the Iraqis

informed the Americans where she was and told the Iraqis, you and so told the Americans, you you can come and pick her

up anytime, okay? She's she's safe. We're taking care of her, but if you want but if you want to take her home,

it's okay. The Americans response organized special forces to go and rescue her even though she was not in

danger. and the media report that she was raped, she was beaten, and she was held hostage. Okay, so that's what the

Pentagon does. The Pentagon is a propaganda machine. It doesn't care about the truth. It just cares about

trying to create a Hollywood movie out of a movie. Okay? So, Pentagon is concerned first and foremost about

creating a Hollywood movie out of a war. That's its own that that's its mentality. Um, we know this because

Jessica Lynch after she was set free went on TV and said that the military is lying about the incident. I was never

beaten. I was never in danger. The people in the hospital treat me very nice. In fact, the nurses sang me to

sleep because they were so concerned about my welfare. All right. All right. So, this is a huge problem for the

American military, for the Pentagon as they fight this war. You can pull this crap when you're fighting Somalis and

Iraqis, but against the Iranians, you need total war. You need to focus on economics, organization, and logistics.

Stop doing this crap of optics, okay, and narrative. Unfortunately, it's it it has it is now the very mentality of the

Pentagon to turn war into a Hollywood movie. All right. So this is a paper written by Kennor Merles at Brown

University and what this author talks about is how the Pentagon and Hollywood are aligned together. All right. So so

so can you read the three major take takeaways? Um um Amber >> in exchange for the use of military

equipment and personnel movies and TV program producers must comply with Pantukon entertainment policy including

script changes to align with military goals including recruitment and public relations.

Since the inception of the Hollywood entertainment industry more than a century ago, over 2,500 war themed

movies and TV programs have been made with Pentagon assistance. Pentagon assisted movies uh movies and TV shows

frame US wars as necessary and glorious, downplaying the ignoring uh downplaying or ignoring the human, social, and

environmental devastation war causes, particularly for civilians. US soldiers are typically cast as noble protagonists

while those non US people's people's deemed enemies of America are constantly stereotyped.

>> Okay. So what this paper is saying is that the Pentagon uses Hollywood in order to indoctrinate and brainwash

American people to believe that war is good. Okay. So that's true. But what's also true is that by working with

Hollywood, it brainwashes the Pentagon to believe that war can be like Hollywood. It can

be perfected. As long as you create a good script, it will work out in the end. Okay? And this will lead to

disaster in Iran. So think about again Donald Trump where it's a failed ground invasion.

And so if it's a failed innovation, what you do is you go back, you sit down with Pentagon planners and you figure out

what went wrong and how to never make the mistake again. But Donald Trump does not want to admit it was a failed ground

invasion. So they made up a stupid Hollywood movie, a stupid Hollywood script that this was a rescue of a

American pilot that it will turn into a Hollywood movie at some point. And so from their perspective, this is a huge

success. Okay. And this is going to lead to problems because if it's a huge success, then do it again,

right? And if people think it's failure, prove that they're wrong by having successful ground invasion. All right?

So unfortunately, the fact of the matter is that America right now, the American military, it's too dominated by special

forces, by Delta Force, by Navy Seals who are interested only in their own personal glory. Okay? Okay, I'm not

saying I'm not saying all of them, but I'm saying there's quite a lot of them who understand that after this war is

over, they can make they can sign a book deal. They can write a book, make millions of dollars, which will be

turned into a movie, and they'll and then they'll be a superstar. Okay, so that's what that's how they think and

what they should be thinking about are organization, logistics, and e economics because these are the three things that

win wars. All right. Okay. Any questions, guys? I personally also think that America is

likely to um make a movie about saving the pirates in Iran. But I think it will be similar as uh saving pirate Ryan. But

could you please tell me whether the plot of saving uh private Ryan is true or it's just made made it up?

>> Yeah, it it's it's just a madeup movie. >> Yeah. Most of these things are are made up, okay? They don't really turn out the

way that that they they do. But like the problem with Hollywood is that it's so seductive. It's so attractive that

people think they're true. Okay? People think that the movie is more true than real life. And that's how not only the

Pentagon works, but also like all of American society works now. Americans live in their own fantasy world created

by Hollywood. And the realities of war are too far away from for them to care about. Okay? I mean, Americans think

that, oh, at worst case scenario, my my the food prices will go up. And you can't really imagine how this war will

ever forever change the world as well as America. Okay. Um, yeah. >> How many more of these spectacles do you

think America can afford recreating? or let's say how many more times would America like learn to understand that

this this like like optical Hollywood act will not no longer work

for their plan. Will they ever will they ever work? >> Okay, that's a great um question to

answer is they will never ever learn. Okay, because they live in a different reality. Like Donald Trump surrounds

himself with people who just tell him what he wants to hear. And the reason why he's able to go in front of the

press and say what a great success in that that we had in saving a pilot. Okay. The reason why the reason why he's

able to do that is because he himself believes this. Okay. He lives in alternate reality, a fantasy land. And

that's why he's able to to so convincingly tell the press and the American people

that this was a great success. Even though if you look at the evidence, this was a tremendous failure. And

unfortunately, this will not change. As this war continues, you have more incidents like this. We just say it it's

a failure that the American military and and Donald Trump um spin as a tremendous success. And so the American people will

continue to believe that this war is going well. Okay? And and we know this because this is exactly what happened in

Ukraine. For the past few years, Russia has been dominating the battlefield and has been um killing many, many

Ukrainians. It's been a disaster for Ukraine. But you don't know this if you're American, if you're an average

American because the news tell you that this war is going great. One more day, guys, and Putin will fall. One more day

the Russian economy will collapse. The Russian people will revolt and Putin will be out of office. One more day and

the and Ukraine Ukrainians will reach Moscow. Okay. Same situation here where one more day and Iran will surrender.

One more day the Iranian economy will collapse. The people will revolt and then we'll have peace in the Middle

East. Okay. So unfortunately this is modern war where it's really about optics. But again you want to win

this war don't focus on optics because ultimately you're the one focusing yourself. Okay. Yeah.

But despite that America is strong in this kind of Hollywood and war scene but I think they still holds dominant

position and still holds the strongest uh military weapon in the world. and they still have, you know, the

sovereignty to state and control many of those countries. How can you explain that?

>> Okay, you're actually right in that America is still the empire and America will not fall because of this war. Worst

case scenario, they lose, they they go home. Okay, so one thing that I I I want us to think about is that the strategic

objectives of the Americans and the Iranians are not actually in conflict with each other. Okay. So if you look at

the Iranians, they want to um get America out of Middle East. All right?

They want to destroy the global economy and they want to deter Israel. Okay? Does that make sense? These are the

three strategic objectives of Iran. to remove America out of the Middle East forever to deter Israel. You can't

destroy Israel because Israel has nuclear weapon, but you show Israel you're strong and you you can hurt them

if you if Israel goes too far and you want to destroy the global economy because you want to reset the global

economy in a way that benefits you. Okay, so these are three strategic objectives of Iran in this war. Let's

look at America. America is okay. Uh destroy Iran

as a nation state. Okay. Which basically means you destroy the desalination plants, the power

plants, the universities, the reservoirs and you try to create ethnic conflict. Okay. Uh buffanize

uh Iran. Okay. So you basically encourage ethnic uprisings throughout the uh country. Okay. Now the last thing

you want to do is isolate Iran. So you want to destroy Iran's capacity to trade with Russia and China. Okay. So

if you look at what's happening, one really strange thing about this war is that these strategic objectives are not

in conflict with each other. Even if Iran is able to achieve its strategic objectives, it doesn't prevent America

from achieving its strategic object objectives. So in other words, at the end of this war, what what we can expect

is both countries achieve their strategic objectives. Okay, which is to say that America is now out of the

Middle East. Um Israel is humbled and the global economy is destroyed. But at the same time, Iran is destroyed as a

nation state. It's balconized. Uh, it's basically born back to the stone age. All right.

All right. Does that make sense? Okay. So, and unfortunately, because the shooting objectives are different, both

nations think they'll win the war. All right. Maybe objectively we think that America is losing the war. But from

American perspective, the way that they frame their strategic objectives means that from their perspective they are

winning the war and that's why they and that's why they think that any day now Iran will surrender. But from the

Iranian perspective, they think they're winning the war and they think that any day now America will surrender. That's

why it's impossible to get the two to negotiate a peace settlement. Okay? Does that make sense?

Okay. All right. Okay. All right. So, on Thursday, we're do something really interesting. Okay. We are having a

midterm examination, but rather than me test you, you're going to test me.

Okay? So, what I want you to do is think about what we've learned this semester and try to figure out where I could be

wrong or where the problems, my logic are. I want you to test me. Okay? And this is also true for YouTube where um

if you think that there's something wrong with my logic, if you dispute what I say, then uh raise a question and then

my wife will read the YouTube comments and then pick out questions for me to answer on Thursday. Okay? So on Thursday

will be a midterm examination, but rather than me test you, you will test me. Okay? and be as hard and as harsh

and as difficult as you want to be. I enjoy being questioned and examined. Okay, so Thursday will be a lot of fun.

I'll see you guys then. >> Yeah.