Understanding Population Distribution and Density in AP Human Geography
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Introduction
As the AP Human Geography Unit 2 Exam approaches, many students find themselves overwhelmed by the concepts of population distribution and density. Not to worry—this comprehensive guide will break down everything you need to know to excel in your exam. After reading, you’ll have a clear understanding of how various factors affect where populations live and how densely they are packed.
What is Population Distribution?
Population distribution refers to the pattern of human habitation on the Earth's surface. Instead of an even spread—where everyone has two football fields' worth of space—humans occupy areas in diverse ways. Understanding why some regions are heavily populated while others remain remote is essential.
Physical Factors Influencing Population Distribution
- Climate: Humans gravitate toward mild climates. For instance, Australians predominantly settle by the coast, avoiding the inhospitable interior.
- Landforms: Generally, people favor lowland areas for agriculture and ease of construction, whereas mountain regions tend to be sparsely populated due to harsh living conditions.
- Water Bodies: Rivers, lakes, and oceans are critical for settlements as they provide necessary resources like drinking water and opportunities for trade.
Human Factors Influencing Population Distribution
- Cultural Factors: Cultural significance can draw populations to specific locations. For instance, religious ties to places can lead to concentrated populations, such as the historical connections of Jews and Muslims to Israel.
- Economic Factors: Populations tend to cluster in areas with abundant job opportunities. Economic motivations have consistently propelled migration over time.
- Historical Context: Past events can influence modern population distribution, as seen with African Americans in the South due to historical factors like slavery.
- Political Context: Changing political climates can push groups to relocate, as seen with immigrants fleeing oppressive regimes.
What is Population Density?
While distribution asks where people live, population density quantifies how many people occupy a given area. Understanding density can uncover insights about societal pressure on land and resources.
Calculating Population Density
Three main calculations are used to determine population density:
- Arithmetic Density: Total population divided by total land area. It includes all land, even uninhabitable spaces, leading to potential misinterpretations.
- Physiological Density: This divides the total population by arable land, providing insight into agricultural sustainability.
- Agricultural Density: This considers the ratio of farmers to arable land, indicating farming efficiency.
Why Population Density Matters
Understanding population density is crucial because it impacts:
- Political Processes: In the U.S., the census influences representation by allocating congressional seats based on population.
- Economic Processes: Density can determine private and public resource allocation, influencing infrastructure and service provision.
- Social Processes: Access to healthcare, schools, and other services are often easier in densely populated areas.
- Environmental Impact: Higher populations exert pressure on land and resources, significantly affecting sustainability.
Population Composition
Population composition looks at the characteristics of a population, notably age and sex ratios.
Age Structure and Dependency Ratios
The age structure indicates population segments—children, working age, and elderly.
- Dependency Ratio: This ratio measures the number of dependents (children and elderly) versus the working-age population, influencing economic productivity.
Sex Ratios
The ratio of males to females can highlight societal issues. For instance, China’s ratio has skewed toward males due to historical policies.
Population Dynamics
Population dynamics delve deeper, examining trends in growth or decline influenced by:
- Fertility Rates: The number of children born in a population affects overall growth. Understanding birth rates helps predict future population trends.
- Mortality Rates: Death rates influence natural population growth. Current health advancements have led to increased life expectancy.
- Migration: Migration introduces new dynamics, often altering local population figures significantly.
Factors Influencing Population Trends
Social and Cultural Factors
Diverse cultural practices can lead to varying fertility rates. For instance, educational access for women correlates with decreased birth rates.
Political Factors
Government policies can significantly impact population trends, promoting or restricting growth as necessary to address concerns surrounding resource allocation.
Economic Factors
Economic conditions directly influence birth rates and migration trends. Economic downturns typically cause fertility rates to drop due to financial insecurity.
Theoretical Models in Population Studies
Several models help explain population changes:
- Demographic Transition Model (DTM): This model illustrates how countries transition through stages of growth.
- Epidemiological Transition Model (ETM): Focuses on disease-related death rates and their evolution over time.
- Malthusian Theory: Warns of a potential food shortage due to exponential population growth.
Consequences of Population Growth and Decline
Understanding these implications is critical for governments and societies in planning for future needs.
Governmental Impact
Governments may seek to influence natural population growth through:
- Anti-natalist Policies: Designed to reduce birth rates when populations are perceived as growing too quickly.
- Pro-natalist Policies: Encouraging higher birth rates to combat aging populations.
- Immigration Policies: Managing the flow of individuals either entering or leaving a country.
The Role of Women and Population
Access to education and healthcare is vital for women, often correlating with lower fertility rates and better outcomes for families.
Aging Populations and Their Challenges
Aging populations increase dependency ratios, potentially straining resources and impacting political landscapes as older citizens become more politically active.
Impact of Migration
Migration, both voluntary and forced, results from a complex mix of push and pull factors, affecting host and origin countries culturally, economically, and politically.
Conclusion
In summary, understanding how and why populations are distributed and dense is foundational in AP Human Geography. By mastering these concepts, you’ll not only be prepared for your exam but will have a deeper appreciation of the intricate tapestry of human geography that shapes our world today.
Stay curious, and best of luck!
so your AP hug unit 2 exam is coming up and you are so lost confused that your soul feels like I feel when I open a two
pack of Starburst and they are both lemon but hey what if I told you that unit 2 is definitely understandable if
you just had someone displaying it up real nice for you and by the end of this video you'll have everything you need to
crush that exam well it's true and that someone is me Steve heimler so if you're ready to get them brain cows milked
let's get to it let's begin in the beginning and talk about population distribution so when we talk about
population we're talking about groups of people population distribution refers to the pattern of human habitation on the
Earth's surface if every single person were spread out evenly over the Earth's surface each of them would have about
two football fields on which they could live and you know that'd be nice but the Earth's humans are not in fact evenly
distributed some people live isolated in miles from other humans While others live packed together tighter than canned
yams which you know it can be pretty tough anyway we need to understand why the differences in population
distribution exist and there are two basic factors but before I tell you what those are let me remind you that if you
want to get an A in your class and a five on your exam May then click the link below and have a look at my AP
Human Geography heimler review guide this thing has exclusive unit review videos that are not here on YouTube they
have no guides to follow along with those videos practice questions a full practice exam a free demo of my AI
heimler bot which is going to help you answer any question you have and score your responses it is the fastest and
most comprehensive way to study for this course so you know check it out and now back to the two factors that explain
population distribution first are physical factors you see because humans depend on the environment for their
survival the various features of the Earth often determine where people live so one physical factor that affects
population density is climate people tend not to live in high numbers where the climate is Harsh you know if it's
too wet or you know but cold or too dry or whatever less humans tend to live in those places for example most of the
population in Australia is distributed near the coast where the temperatures are more temperate and almost nobody
lives in the center where it's dry and hot enough to fry eggs in the dirt so for the most part humans love to live in
the mid-latitudes between 30 and 60 degrees from the equator because the temperature is milder and it is a decent
amount of precipitation okay now a second physical factor in population distribution is landform in general
humans like to live in lowland areas because in those areas it's easier to build and easier to farm mountainous
areas on the other hand tend to be sparsely populated hey can I borrow some sugar and that's not hard to understand
higher elevations bring challenges to human life like nasty cold temperatures minimal food and lack of breathable air
but this is only true in the middle and higher latitudes in places close to the equator some mountainous regions can be
highly populated precisely because they're cooler and more temperate okay now a third physical factor that affects
population distribution is water bodies from the dawn of human history human settlements have gathered around bodies
of water either you know rivers or oceans or lakes it's not hard to understand these bodies of water provide
people with what they need to live like drinking water and water for their crops easy travel and trade with other people
so those are the physical factors that play a role in where the world's population is distributed and now let's
considered the other major category that affects population distribution namely human factors the first human factor to
know is culture like people may choose to live in a place because that place is somehow important to their culture you
know they live here because they feel like they belong for example both Jews and Muslims feel like they have a right
to the land of Israel and Palestine because they have ancient cultural attachments to them but don't worry
those rival attachments to the same land haven't caused any geopolitical problems in the world you know
they've caused a lot it's a real problem anyway the second human factor that determines how population is distributed
is economic people tend to settle where they're confident that they can make a living you know where resources and jobs
are abundant that means economics can often be a major reason for migration as well for example those responsible for
the African slave trade had significant economic incentives to move millions of enslaved Africans from their homes in
the Americas starting from the 15th century also a major factor in the large ways of immigration in the United States
during the 19th century was that jobless Europeans were looking for work and they found it in America so they packed up
their bags and they migrate okay now a third human factor for population distribution is history what I mean is
how populations were distributed in the past can have a strong influence on how they are distributed in the present for
example over half of all black Americans live in the south and that has a lot to do with the history of slavery in
America almost half of all Asian Americans live in the west because their ancestors migrated from Asia and settled
there okay now a fourth human factor influencing population distribution is politics well you know if a group of
people don't like the politics in the region maybe they move elsewhere and this was the case for a great deal of
the immigrants coming to America from Europe in the 19th century a lot of them weren't exactly fans of the tyrannical
turds running things back home so they migrated here to America and you know that was voluntary but also people can
be forced to move because of political regime for example in 1975 the totalitarian Cambodian regime known as
the Khmer Rouge forced millions of cambodians from their Capital City into the rural Countryside okay so those are
all the high level reasons why the Earth's population is distributed the way it is but now we need to talk about
a related concept namely population density which is a measure of how many people occupy a given unit of land that
sounds like the same thing I was just slapping my mouth all about in the last section it's not in the last section I
was flapping my mouth all about population distribution which asked where do people live here we are talking
about population density which asked how many people live here so don't get confused with the two I know you want to
but don't so when it comes to calculating population density you need to know the three methods geographers
use and you need to understand the value of different calculations for answering questions about the pressure those
populations exert on their Lane the first kind of calculation is called arithmetic density which is the total
population divided by the total land area and that's you know all the land even the land that's uninhabitable
because this measure of density includes every square inch of land the result doesn't necessarily tell the whole story
for example Taiwan has one of the highest population densities in the world but three quarters of its people
live on one third of its land area so arithmetic density does not account for this and that number might lead you to
assume that the population is distributed evenly across Taiwan which they are now okay now my second kind of
calculation is physiological density which is the total population divided by the total amount of arable land arable
land it means land that can be used for agriculture so this is a measure that demonstrates whether a population is
able to feed itself like is there enough arable land to grow enough crops to feed everyone's mouth the higher the
physiological density the more pressure will be put on Farmland to produce enough food and the lower the number the
less pressure on the farmland for example the United Arab Emirates has about 32 000 square miles of land and
almost 10 million people as of 2020. but only about half a percent of that land can grow food because you know it's in a
giant stinking desert so this is a good example for us to compare the different insights generated by different
calculations of population density so the arithmetic density of the UAB gives us 312 people per square mile and hey
that doesn't sound so bad does it but when we consider how much Farmland is available to feed all those people which
is to say we calculate the physiological density we get over 6 000 people per square mile that's a lot of density Tony
okay now the third method of calculation you need to know is agricultural density which is the total farmers in a place
divided by the total arable Lane so here a lower number means less Farmers available to grow food but that doesn't
necessarily indicate that everyone in that place is is going to start especially in wealthy industrialized
countries a lower agricultural density means that farming has become mechanized so yes there are fewer Farmers but
that's because they can use those big honking machines to do the farming for them on the other hand a high
agricultural density usually means that many farmers are subsistence Farmers which means they grow only what they
need to survive and they don't sell it on some distant market now it's important to know that none of these
calculations tell us the whole story alone but if we get them in a big equational hug then we start to get a
complete picture of population density and its implications for how people put pressure on their land but okay like who
cares like why does calculating all this even matter well it matters my young people because population distribution
and density can significantly affect four processes that you need to know first density and distribution affect
political process for example here in America a census is taken every 10 years and once they find out where all the
people live seats are gained or lost in the House of Representatives and that can shift the balance of power and con
second density and distribution affect economic process population density numbers determine how money is spent for
both private and public services so if an area is growing rapidly in population businesses have more incentives to open
stores and offices in those locations and the opposite is true in places with decreasing population governments also
allocate money for infrastructure projects like roads and bridges based on whether these places populations are
growing or declining third density and distribution affect social process and these calculations can determine how
accessible Public Services like schools or hospitals are to a given population like it's way more cost effective to
build a hospital for example in a densely populated area than in a sparsely populated world so you know if
you live out in the country and you wake up with a kidney stone the size of a baseball well it's going to be a long
night and fourth density and distribution affect the health of the environment and access to Natural
Resources as our population grows more people need to eat and drink and that means more pressure on the land and
water sources and Central to this concern is the question of the Earth's carrying capacity which refers to the
maximum population an environment can support geographers fight about this like children fighting over who gets to
dig up all the gyroids after it rains and Animal Crossing and they debate because so many factors complicate the
potential carrying capacity including climate agricultural productivity technology Etc some studies say that the
Earth's carrying capacity is 500 million While others say it's over a trillion but determining carrying capacity is
even more complicated when you consider that not all people use the same amount of resources middle class Americans for
example use far more resources than they need to survive and that decreases the Earth's carrying capacity like if
everyone used only what they needed in the carrying capacity might be easier to determine but you know they don't Okay
so we've talked about how population is distributed and how dense it can be and how to calculate population density and
why all that matters so now let's turn the corner and talk about population composition which is the measure of
certain characteristics of a population like age race gender Etc there are two very important elements of population
composition you need to know first is the age structure of a population which is an organization of population based
on age groups so people like me in my early 40s would be an age group and then people like my grandpappy who was older
than dirt and dog ears is another group but I can still wear you out yep that's true anyway knowing how many people fit
into different age groups enables geographers to draw conclusions about whether a population is growing or
stable or declining and we'll talk more about that in a minute now one very important part of age structure that you
need to know is a population's dependency ratio now dependents are people who you know depend on others to
survive usually children under the age of 15 and elderly people over the age of 65. in other words these are people who
are generally not working to support themselves and knowing this ratio is helpful in figuring out the pressure put
on the working age population to support other non-working dependent groups so think about it this way suppose these
two parents both work and together they make a hundred thousand dollars a year and they only have one child or you know
one dependent this would be a low dependency ratio and then this family over here makes the same amount but they
have five children this would be a high dependency ratio a hundred thousand dollars is going to go a lot further in
providing for the needs of that one child than it will for five children you smell what I'm stepping so that becomes
a very important measurement for a given population at National regional and local skills to determine current and
future levels of productivity in the working population a higher dependency ratio indicates fewer working age people
supporting more dependents while a lower dependency ratio indicates more working age people supporting less dependents
and just for poops and Giggles you should know that the dependency ratio is calculated by taking the number of
people in the dependent age group and dividing by the number of people in the working age group multiplying by a
hundred okay now the second element of population composition you need to know is the sex ratio which represents a
comparison of males to females in a population and depending on the scale we use the sex ratio can be different on a
global scale the sex ratio is about 101 men to 100 women let's zoom into a single continent like Europe and the
ratio is 95 to 100 or zoom in further to just one country and we'll choose China for funsies and the ratio is 110 to 100
and that's a result of their one child policy but you know we'll talk about that later but anyway one of the key
tools geographers use to compare the age structure and sex ratios is the population pyramid and oh baby are you
definitely going to see this on your exam so let's talk about how to interpret it and why it's important so
here on this Global pyramid you see five-year age increments on the y-axis and male female percentages on the
x-axis so this tells you that out of the world's entire population in the 50 to 54 age range 2.9 percent are male and
2.9 percent are female easy peasy lemon squeezers now the reason population pyramids are such powerful tools is
because depending on the shape of them they can tell us whether a population is growing or decline let me show you the
four typical shapes that illustrate those Trends this shape illustrates a population in Rapid growth see that wide
base that means that there are way more young people than older people and this shape often occurs in developing
countries where the birth rates are high and the lifespan is shorter like for example in the Democratic Republic of
the Congo so a population of rapid growth will need to focus many of their resources on providing for the needs of
children like you know education now a population in this shape is still growing but it's an indication of slow
growth here the birth rate is only slightly higher than the death rate it's still a pyramid but the base is much
narrower a good example here is China and the narrow base shows the result of their one child policy that I mentioned
earlier then there's this shape which indicates stable growth here the birth and death rates are similar and there's
a roughly even distribution throughout the different age range and a good example of stable growth is the United
States and finally this shape here is kind of bad news because it indicates population decline here the death rate
is higher than the birth rate and that's why the base is narrower than the top Germany is a good example here and for
populations in this kind of shape they're going to face challenges like labor shortages and decreasing demand
for Consumer products okay be honest I'm going to tell you more about population than you ever wanted to know yep well
don't worry because there's more so now we need to talk about population Dynamics which is all about how
geographers study the trends in population growth or decline for that they consider three areas fertility
rates mortality rates and migration now the fertility rate is the measure of a population's ability to have children
and that is important because to paraphrase the Notorious BIG that great philosopher of population phenomena Mo
babies Mo Problems and to be fair you know less babies less problems but it's not as catch anyway knowing the
fertility rate is useful for governments for example who want to know whether their populations are growing or
remaining stable or decline with this information they are better able to plan and allocate funds for infrastructure
projects and education and health care and I know what you're thinking but heimler how do you measure the fertility
rate I got you first just the crude birth rate which is the number of births per thousand people in a given year so a
simplistic example would be this if you have a population of a million people and ten thousand babies are born then
both get divided by a thousand and you get accrued birth rate of ten per thousand this measure is useful for
predicting future population growth so for example the lowest crude birth rate in the world right now is Europe and the
highest is in Africa now a potentially more accurate measure of a population's growth or decline is its total fertility
rate which indicates the average number of children one woman will have during her child bearing years which is roughly
age 15 to 49. now this measure of fertility is more accurate than crude birth rate because it only considers the
part of the population who are capable of bearing children additionally a country's total fertility rate is often
a signal of that country's access to health care and Medical Services what I mean is a lower total fertility rate
tends to occur in wealthier countries where access to Healthcare and Family Planning services are abundant in those
places it's easier to avoid unwanted pregnancy and the opposite is true for Less developed countries with higher
total fertility rates now you should know that a TFR of 2.1 is the rate at which a population will remain stable
because last time I checked it takes two people to have a baby and so they need to have at least two babies to replace
themselves in the population so Europe's TFR as of 2020 was about 1.5 which means they're experiencing population decline
whereas Africa's was 4.3 which means population growth okay so that's fertility rate now the second measure
geographers consider when studying population growth and decline is mortality rates which indicates a
population's rate of death and here there are two varieties of measurements to know first is the crude death rate
which measures the number of deaths per thousand people now at a global scale the crude death rate is currently about
eight per thousand but in 1960 it was 13 per thousand and it is steadily declined since then so that means that worldwide
people are living longer on average that's great because that means I'll be around much longer to hold sassy AP
videos onto the internet for you marvelous people now the question is why are people living longer today than they
have in the past well in general people are experiencing longer life spans because of better nutrition better
quality Medical Care and expanded access to clean water so put all those factors in the pot and baby you've got a stew
that smells like an increased life expectancy which is how long and average person is expected to live and again
scale matters like in some wealthy developed Nations the life expectancy is 80 years while in many developing
nations it's more like 50. okay another related measure of population growth and decline is infant mortality rate which
is the number of children who die before they reach the age of one per 1000 live births I said before that a low crude
death rate can be explained by better access to health care about the infant mortality rate is often a better
indicator of a country's access to health care than the CDR is in places with a high infant mortality rate they
tend to have less access to life-saving interventions and medicines to help babies survive infants in places with a
low infant mortality rate they tend to have more access to health care okay so those are the kinds of measures you need
to know so let's start putting them together geographers use both the crude birth rate and the crude death rate
together when they want to study changes in population so take the CBR and subtract the CDR and that gives you the
rate of natural increase for a population so if a population has accrued birth rate of 20 births per
thousand and accrued death rate of 10 deaths per thousand then the rate of natural increase would be 10 which you
know is 20 minus 10. in this case the rate of natural increase is positive so the population is growing but if the rni
is negative then the population is declining now to be clear this measurement of growth or decline is only
about a population's births and deaths but those aren't the only ways a population changes anyone know any other
ways that populations can grow or decline anyone anyone oh me ah migration that's right so the
rni says precisely nothing about population increase or decline due to migration and yeah we'll get to that in
a minute but for now just understand that even if a country's rni is steady or declining they might still see an
increase in population due to migration now another reality geographer study with reference to population is the
doubling time of populations which is exactly what it sounds like given the current population growth Trends how
long will it take for that given population to dump this number varies according to the crude birthing death
rates infant mortality rates for example Ethiopia's doubling time will take 27 years and why because it's in the rapid
growth phase and it won't take long to double that population but the United States will take 233 years to double
because it's in the stable growth phase okay now that we've talked about the fact of growing and declining
populations now we have to consider the various factors that influence fertility mortality and migration the first
influences are social and cultural factors for example different cultures have different expectations for women
which can play a significant role in fertility some cultures have strict gender roles and expect women to stay
home raise large families and make their husband's sandwiches which can lead to a higher fertility rate but in other
cultures women have more freedom to pursue education and careers which can often lead to fewer births leading to a
lower fertility rate and second political factors influence fertility mortality and migration governments
monitor their population growth carefully and can encourage or discourage birth we already talked about
one example of this namely China's one child policy enacted in the 1907. during that time the Chinese government was
getting all sweaty as they looked at the explosive growth of their population because you know too many mouthfuls not
enough food to feed them so they enacted the one child policy to restrict their population on the other hand when
governments see that their population is declining they can encourage families to have more babies by passing laws
guaranteeing access to health care more generous maternity or paternity leave from work but third there are also
economic factors that influence fertility mortality and migration rates as well birth rates often decline during
economic downturns when people are worried that they don't have enough means to care for more children but when
the economy is good people will be making babies because they're optimistic about the future look here you see that
during the Great Depression here in the United States the total fertility rate in the U.S was a real low like nobody
had any money so fewer babies were born but look here's the baby boom which coincided with a wave of incredible
economic prosperity and then the economy started tanking again about here and you know you get but economic factors can
also determine rates of migration for example during the 19th century the United States economy wasn't General
doing very well while eastern and southern Europe's economies were to use the technical geographical term a turd
halfway to be in flushed and that economic reality led to massive migration to the United States of
European immigrants looking for work okay now everything we've been talking about thus far is all about measurements
and percentages and precise Matthew stuff I can see it in your eyes you want to get a little more theoretical about
population Dynamics and that's great because that's exactly what we're about to do y'all and I want to explain to you
two theoretical models that attempt to explain population growth first is the demographic transition model which is a
graph that attempts to explain the growth and changes in human population over the course of history by
considering birth and death but before I explain what all this means you need to remember that this model was created to
explain European and American populations and that means means it might not be as useful for explaining
population realities in other areas of the world now you will absolutely see this on your exam and it looks all kinds
of confusing but just stick with me and I will help you understand so the basic function of this model is to chart how
crude birth rate crude death rate and the rate of natural increase change as the society passes through these
different phases of History stage one is called the high stationary phase and a population in this phase is
pre-industrial and agrarian now agrarian means that these people are mainly farmers and pre-industrial means that
everything they needed to live like you know clothes and tools were made by hand and not machines so in this phase you
can see that the birth rate and the death rates are both High which means that they kind of cancel each other out
like a lot of people are being born and a lot of people are dying in so everything is basically even and that
leads to a stable population that basically remains steady or growing a little or shrinking a little bit now
agrarian people tended to have lots of babies because they needed help on the farm well son you're four years old now
and that goat ain't gonna milk itself but all those babies are not going to lead to significant population growth in
this stage because poor nutrition and disease meant the average lifespan and was somewhere in the 30s making the
death rate high as well and as the world currently stands no present nation is in stage one then we get here to stage two
which is known as the early expanding stage which corresponds to a population's entry into
industrialization now we're going to talk all about industrialization in unit seven but for now you just need to
understand that the Industrial Revolution marked a transition from an agrarian society to a modern mechanized
Society so here the birth rate remains high but the death rate begins to drop precipitously due to advances in science
and new medicines and better nutrition vaccinations Etc so that led to a dramatic increase in lifespan you know
people are living longer but still a lot of babies are being born so this Gap right here indicates a population
explosion I think we move right along to stage three which is the late expanding State and this stage populations are
continuing to industrialize medicines are getting better more people have access to nutritious Foods education
becomes more important etc etc under these conditions the birth rate begins to decrease sharply and the reason is
that as more people have access to education and get further away from life on the farm children are not necessarily
an asset for work even so there are still more birth than death so in this stage population grows slowly today many
developing nations are in this state and then moving along to stage four we have the low stationary stage and at this
stage a country is considered to be completely industrial and here you can see that birth and death rates are
similar which leads to a slow population growth or stabilization when a population arrives in this stage it has
new worries about an aging population and all the issues that come with it today most developed nations are in this
state now when this model was first introduced it only had four stages but recently a potential fifth stage has
been added Geographic entries in this stage is called the natural decrease state so in every stage before those
populations were either stable or growing but here we get the ultimate why as the death rate exceeds the birth rate
and the rate of natural increase begins to decline now some European countries along with Japan are now in this state
but remember the populations of these countries might still grow through migration so you know fingers crossed so
again this is a theoretical model that traces how populations grow and decline through specific periods of historical
development and the key theme of this model is a country's level of industrialization another model you need
to know that looks at population growth and decline not through the lens of industrialization but instead through
the lens of disease it's called the epidemiological transition model and this model focuses on the death rate and
tries to explain why the death rate changes over time now in case you don't know epidemiology is the study of how
diseases spread so maybe think of this model as the nasty germ transition model anyway in this model stage one is known
as famine in this stage people can die from dang near anything infectious or parasitic diseases bear attacks whatever
if it's lethal you can die from it in this state probably the most dramatic example of populations in this stage is
the spread of the Bubonic plague otherwise known by its cuter more playful name in the 13th and 14th
centuries this disease spread along trade routes throughout afro-eurasia and killed a fourth to a half of Any Given
population therefore in the famine stage the death rate is high in life expectancy is low population can grow
but usually it grows in bursts and is not sustained over time okay now stage two is known as the receding pandemic
phase and here life expectancy increases significantly from about 30 to about 50 years old and the death 3 begins to
decline populations enter this phase when they begin to have access to improved sanitation and nutrition and
medicine all of which helps fend off the great plagues killing Humanity but don't celebrate yet because people are still
Dying by the metric butt load in this phase and here people are mainly dying from pandemics which are diseases that
are spread throughout regions in the world this is especially true because people on this stage often are living
much closer together in cities which is where the nasty germs can spread real easily and then we move right along to
stage three which is known as the degenerative and human created diseases phase here the death rate is still low
in life expectancy continues to increase you think that'd be a good thing for people to be living longer like puppies
and rainbows as far as the eye can see but longer life brings other problems with it especially diseases associated
with old age like heart disease and cancer okay now stage four is called the delayed degenerative disease phase and
this is the stage where life expectancy is at its highest peer Medical Technology advances significantly to
address diseases that are associated with aging so you know for heart disease we get bypass surgery and for cancer we
get chemotherapy Etc and dang it I wish I could tell you that's where we're all headed better and better medical
technology apology and longer and longer lifespan but this model is here to crush any hope you have because we also have
stage five known as the re-emergence of infectious disease phase yeah it's great that we developed all those medical
Technologies to fight off diseases but here infectious and parasitic diseases develop immunity to our drugs and our
antibiotics and then they come right back therefore those diseases become a deadly threat yet again in life
expectancy decreases okay now the main critique of the epidemiological transition model is that it
oversimplifies the causes of population change due to diseases in other words this model doesn't account for differing
historical periods or location additionally the etm doesn't account for poverty as a cause of the spread of
disease which is a major Omission poverty is one of the most significant causes of shortened lifespans and
probably does a better job explaining differences in death rates than the spread of disease so there you go if
you're at a party and you get into an argument about the efficacy of the etm to explain population patterns well now
you're well equipped to hold your own maybe that's just the parties I go to anyway moving on okay now let me
introduce you to yet a third theory on population growth and decline namely the malthusian theory the Thomas Malthus was
a cheery British demographer who lived in the 18th century and looked around at the European population Trends and was
like yep everybody's going to die he was a fun guy anyway his worries were centered on the dramatic increase in the
population that he was observing which was happening for two reasons birth rates were slowly increasing but thanks
to advances in medicine the death rate decreased sharply so not only were there way more infants surviving childhood but
people were now living healthier and longer alive so you and I look at those developments and we're all like thumbs
up great but not Thomas Malthus he looked around at people living longer and not dying from disease and was like
oh this is terrible anyway the reason these developments worried about this is because he observed that while the
population of Europe was growing exponentially the food supply was only growing arithmetically and I know that
doesn't make any sense to you let me say a difference he worried that if the population kept expanding as rapidly as
it was then by 1800 there will be more people than food to feed them which would result in massive famines and
plagues which would be the only way to decrease the population so Malthus summoned his inner Thanos and argued
that people should delay marriage and have less children so that everyone Wouldn't Die Now spoiler alert now
office was wrong from our vantage point a couple centuries later we can see what Malthus could not namely that new
technologies like mechanized farming and chemical fertilizers enabled the growth of the food supply to keep up with the
population so sorry Thomas Malthus yeah okay now let's leave all the theoretical stuff behind and talk about consequences
of population growth or decline like why does all this matter and to whom does it matter well first population data
matters to government in some cases governments can attempt to influence the population growth you know the rate of
natural increase of their populations and they can do that in several ways first they can introduce anti-natalist
policies which are policies intended to decrease the number of children usually this is done because governments are
concerned that their populations are growing too fast for their resources to keep up I'm looking at you Malthus the
most famous anti-natalist policy was once again China's one child policy now on the other side of the spectrum
governments can introduce pro-natalist policies which are policies intended to increase the number of babies born
usually governments do this because they're worried about the effects of an aging population more specifically as
the population ages and stops working their may be a gap in working age people to film necessary jobs to keep the
economy afloat and that is a no buoyant so pronatalist policies can include generous parental leave from work and
free daycare and other means to decrease the expense of raising children and then third don't forget the populations can
grow or decrease because of migration and so governments can also introduce immigration policies which either allow
more immigrants in or restrict the flow of immigrants for example in the 1950s and 1960s as Western Europe was
recovering from World War II they experienced an economic boom however because of the significantly decreased
population due to the Staggering amount of deaths in the war several Nations passed policies basically inviting
immigrants to come live and work there okay let's talk about the lady now over the last few decades geographers have
focused more and more on women and their role in the world especially their role with respect to fertility and what's
been most interesting to notice is that as women's status is elevated and they have more access to health care and
contraception and education fertility rates tend to decrease on the flip side in places that uphold more traditional
gender roles which is to say women are mainly seen as the bearers of children those women tend to have more a baby but
you need to know that there are basically three ways that women's roles can be elevated in a population and when
women are elevated it has a significant impact on the fertility first access to education pretty universally when women
have access to more education they tend to have fewer children to help you remember that demographers call this the
more books less babies principles and that happens for several reasons one reason is that educated women tend to be
more skeptical about cultural norms that dictate how many babies they should have okay now the second way women's roles
are elevated is by access to family planning which include medical technologies that can help women have
more control over when and if they get pregnant and therefore that lowers the fertility rate here you have medical
Technologies like the birth control pill or intrauterine devices and then the Third Way women's roles are elevated is
by increased access to employment there's more opportunities for women have opened in the workplace especially
over the course of the 20th century many women delay marriage and childbearing in order to focus on their career now it's
also important to know that the changing roles of women also affect mortality and migration and first let's consider
mortality now as I mentioned as women have more access to Education Health Care and Family Planning they do have
fewer babies the fewer babies they do have are more likely to live in other words as women are elevated the infant
mortality rate decreases second let's consider the effect of women's roles on migration and here let me introduce you
to my boy Ernst Georg ravenstein he was a 19th century geographer who developed 11 laws of migration to explain how and
why and under what conditions people migrate now you don't need to know all these laws but law 6 says that women are
more likely to migrate within their home country while men are more likely to migrate to other countries so in
countries where women have more autonomy they are often the chief movers when it comes to migration and mostly it's rural
to Urban migration okay so now let's focus a little more on the issue I mentioned earlier namely the causes and
consequences of an aging population first of all what in the fresh heck is an aging population well basically it's
a population in which the dependency ratio is increasing and they tend to have a lower total fertility rate also
somewhere below 2.1 so in terms of a population pyramid aging populations look like this the middle cohorts are
larger than the lower cohort so basically an aging population is determined by the birth rate that death
rate and longer life expectancy so those are the causes of an aging population and now what are the consequences and I
can think of three first you have political consequences as the population gets older they can have a significant
effect on the balance of political power in a country for example in the United States the most reliable voters are
those over the age of 65. so while the 18 to 25 year olds are busy trying to become Tick-Tock influencers those
retirees are in the voting booth making sure their interests are protected and that means that in general as a
population ages the policies passed by Congress will reflect the interests of senior citizens the most significant of
which is Social Security and health care but second there are also social consequences of an aging population like
for example providing care for The Elder you see the more a country industrializes the more likely a society
is defined by the nuclear family instead of multi-generational households and as you may know nuclear families move all
over the dang Place away from the older generation like if everyone lived close than the younger members of the family
could care for the older members of the family when that time comes but in the age of the nuclear family and increased
migration more elderly people are moving into retirement and nursing facilities to get the care that they need a third
their Economic Consequences to an aging popular so as a population ages they pay less in taxes and if a population is
made up of a majority of older folks then that presents a big fat economic problem for example here in the U.S we
have social security which provides monthly payments to retired people do you know who pays for the current
generation of retired people people of working in so look you can see the problem there are a lot more people
retiring than there are working and that is a major economic problem created by an aging population in fact the
prediction is that the Social Security fund will be depleted by 2031 so by the time I retire you know all that money
I've been putting into that fund since I was 16 years old will be gone and I'll go have to live in a van down by the
river okay enough of that now let's get to our last major section which is all about migration and I reckon we ought to
start by talking about why people migrate But First Let Me Clear something up so you don't get confused you're
going to hear me use two words that kind of sound the same but they are not immigration and emigration immigration
refers to people coming into a country while immigration refers to people leaving a country immigration in
Immigration out we good okay now why do people migrate well they migrate because they experience either push or pull fact
push factors are negative experiences that push people out of their country so maybe a war or persecution pushes
refugees out of their country to find shelter in another country or maybe it's famine or a natural disaster like
Hurricane Katrina in 2005 which sent around a million Louisiana residents seeking shelter in other states on the
other side people migrate because of pull factors which are positive factors that attract migrants to a new place
effectively pulling them out of their home so for example poll factors can include new job opportunities or seeking
Freedom under another country's more stable government and hopefully it's obvious but when people decide to
migrate they're usually experiencing a combination of push and pull factors like they rarely occur in isolation so
for example during the Irish Potato Famine in the 19th century millions of Irish poor were starving so you know
that's a push factor so as a result many of them migrated to the United States because there was food and work over
there that's a pull factor are you mowing what I'm growing good okay so people migrate because they experience
significant push and pull factors but when they make the decision to leave for their new destination they will almost
always experience intervening obstacles and opportunity intervening obstacles refer to challenges that they must
overcome in reaching their desired destination on the other hand sometimes migrants experience intervening
opportunities which can be anything that they encounter that changes the original destination of their migration to
further complicate things all of these push and pull factors and intervening phenomena can be categorized under five
heads you've got cultural demographic economic environmental and political and let me explain each of these with some
examples very quickly in the cultural category persecution can be a push factor as it was during the partition of
India after World War II the northern part of India which was a Hindu majority was sectioned off to create Pakistan
which would be a Muslim majority Nation so Muslims who no longer felt welcome or safe in India migrated North to Pakistan
while Hindus migrated South to India that became a horrible mess and the loss of life during that event was staggering
now in the demographic category rural people may migrate because they lack access to health care services or Urban
people may migrate away from the city because of the dense population there and there's just not enough jobs for
everybody in that City and then in the economic category people tend to migrate to find jobs to support themselves and
their family a good example here was the Bracero Program which was an agreement between the Mexican and U.S government
during World War II because the U.S was busy mobilizing to blow people up in distant lands Agricultural and
transportation jobs were going unfilled and as a result over 4 million Mexican workers migrated across the border to
fill those vital roles now in the environmental category in addition to natural disaster displacement people may
migrate because the climate of a region is more desirable than their current climate for example Florida is home to
the largest population of retirees in America many of whom migrated to avoid the butt cold winters of the American
North then in the political category war is a major political push factor that sends many migrants seeking safer
conditions Elsewhere for example the Syrian Civil War which began in 2011 has been responsible for the immigration of
more than 5 million syrians from their home okay now there are two major categories of migration that you need to
know there's Force migration and voluntary migration and each of those are you know exactly what they sound
forced migration occurs when people leave their homes against their will probably the example you are already
familiar with is slavery but slavery isn't the only kind of force migration as I mentioned before people often flee
their country because of war or persecution for example hundreds of thousands of Armenians fled their homes
during the Armenian genocide in the first part of the 20th century so people who migrate for these reasons are known
as refugees and refugees have the right under international law to seek Asylum or you know protection in other
countries but there's another group of migrants known as internally displaced persons who leave their homes for
similar reasons but they just go to another part of their own country so Force migration is always ugly and
creates all sorts of human crises but let's brighten things up a bit and talk about voluntary migration which occurs
when people leave their homes because they want to and because one geographers love to categorize things and two they
hate you there are seven categories of voluntary migration you need to know the first category of voluntary migration is
transnational these migrants while they live in the place that is not their home retain strong ties to their culture and
their family back home it's like they live in two cultures at once across National boundaries so one major way
this often works out is this if the migration occurred to find work than the transnational workers will often send
money home to the people they left behind maintaining that relational connection across distance the second
category of voluntary migration is called transhuman this refers to Migration by people who move not because
of unforeseen push and pull factors but because movement is their way of life although there are fewer and fewer of
these groups of people today nomadic peoples who move from one area to another would fit this category now the
third category of voluntary migration is called internal migration which refers to people who migrate within the borders
of a country according to ravenstein's laws of migration most migrations occur over shorter distances because you know
there are less intervening obstacles encountered over short distances makes sense Stay With Me Now the fourth
category of voluntary migration is called chain migration the idea here is that one group of migrants can often
cause other migrants to follow this so the first stage of chain migration might be a group of migrants who settle
elsewhere because of various push and pull facts and then once they've established themselves in that new
location they stay in contact with those that they've Left Behind then after some time passes if they have found a better
life in their new destination country the people they left behind will often migrate and settle with them in the same
place so back to the huge Irish immigration to America that we talked about earlier this is a good example of
chain migration the first wave of immigrants was pushed out of Ireland by famine and even though they were no
longer Starving in America they did face a pretty rough reception but over time as Irish immigrants became more and more
part of American society more Irish people immigrated and found their new home much more accommodating okay the
fifth category of voluntary migration is called Step migration the idea here is that a migrant's journey often occurs in
stages or steps and not all at once so a group of migrants May plan to arrive at this destination here but then they
encounter intervening obstacles or opportunities as they often do as a result they may choose to settle in
villages and cities along the way until they can make the next step and leave for their ultimate destination all right
now the sixth category of voluntary migration involves people called guest workers this is a temporary form of
migration in which migrants travel to a new country to work for a specified amount of time I already mentioned the
Bracero Program earlier which is a good example of that and then finally the seventh category of voluntary migration
is known as rural to Urban this is the movement of people from sparsely populated country size 2 densely
populated Urban urban center and just particular kind of migration has been increasing ever since the rise of the
Industrial Revolution all right we'll give yourself a good slap in the face to wake up and let's push through this
final section to talk about the effects of migration those effects fall into three categories political economic and
culture first migration can have significant political effects for example when people migrate it can
change the distribution of political power as it did here in the United States in the mid 20th century when a
bunch of people from the north and Midwest migrated to the Sun Belt state but immigration can also have negative
political effects so when immigrants arrive in large numbers it can sometimes make the native born people who live
there a little cranky and as a result the government may pass laws restricting immigration probably the most notorious
example of this in American history was the Chinese Exclusion Act of 1882. you see in the 19th century Chinese
immigrants to America surged as jobs in the railroad industry opened up but native born Americans began blaming the
Chinese immigrants for keeping wages low and taking their jobs which the Chinese immigrants responded I'm pretty sure the
only reason we got those jobs to begin with is because you guys didn't want regardless the result was that Congress
passed the Chinese Exclusion Act which enacted did a 10-year ban on Chinese immigrants so yeah I'd say that had a
negative effect on immigration second migration can have significant economic effects and these can be felt both in
the destination countries where these migrants are going and in their countries of origin you know where they
are leaving the migrants destination countries benefit from immigration because immigrants often come seeking
work additionally immigrants will often accept jobs at lower wages in sectors where native born people are less
willing to work today two of the biggest of those sectors are Agriculture and construction this Arrangement can be
extremely helpful to a country with an aging population because more workers in the economy decreases the dependency
ratio oh man we're just tying all these Concepts together feels good doesn't it but the migrants countries of origin
also feel the economic effect with working age people leaving more jobs are open for those who remain behind
additionally immigrants often send money back to their country of origin and the term for that money is remittance as far
as the role of remittances in the world economy there are no according to the World Bank in 2022 over 630 billion
dollars in remittances circulated between immigrants and their families and friends back home but flip that same
coin over to the negative side and we see that since the majority of migrants who leave a country are of working age
then that can create a problem if there aren't enough people to fill the jobs that they left behind that can create
slow growth for the country of origin's economy and third there are cultural effects of migration destination
countries a significant cultural effect is the introduction of the immigrant's culture their language their religion
their music etc for example as a result of the large influx of Mexican immigrants to America since the Bracero
Program Mexican food is a staple item in the United States and I have to be honest I ain't mad about it now in
countries of origin the cultural effects of migration are often connected to economic benefits because of the
prevalence of remittances families left behind in the country of origin can often afford a better lifestyle than
they otherwise could but on the negative side the social structures in the countries of origin can be strained by
migration families can be broken apart when one of the parents usually the father departs looking for work
elsewhere and that's rough on the family in this case the dependency ratio increase putting more stress on the
working population there okay now to keep reviewing for unit two click right here and keep watching click here to
grab my AP hug heimler review guide which has everything you need to get an A in your class and a 500 examine made