Fact Check: Arakan Army, Bangladesh Instability, and India's Geopolitical Options

Bangladesh's ex-army generals, a week ago, were making some big promises Let's see how the world's most powerful military, the Bangladeshi military, is doing today Today, the Arakan Army has actually launched Ghazwa-e-Bangladesh against them

It's a great humiliation Now look, you must have heard the saying The snake should be killed, but the stick should not break

It seems that Ajit Doval must have heard this story too In Pakistan's case, the devastation was caused by unknown men Today the Arakan Army is causing the same devastation on the Bangladesh border

In today's video, we will see what the Arakan army is capable of. Andn I will tell you a surprising thing today The ripple effects of the Arakan army's operation in Bangladesh can potentially last for years

And the benefit of this situation can be not only for India, but also for China and the USA. So currently a great game is on in Bangladesh Who will win this geopolitical game?

Come on let's see it Hello Hello and welcome to this episode of The Sham Sharma Show I am the CEO of Secularism

And to all of you A Secular greeting So look one day ago the Arakan army has controlled more than half of Rakhine's townships

Rakhine is a province of Myanmar bordering Bangladesh From this province most of the Rohingyas came to India The Arakan army is a well-armed wing of the ethnic minority movement of Rakhine

Which is seeking autonomy from Myanmar's central government And now, the Arakan Army Has completely taken control of the 270 km long Myanmar-Bangladesh border

It is being reported that this Arakan Army is taking control of these Islamic terrorist camps Which have been established by the Rohingya Solidarity Organization of puppet Prime Minister Mohammad Yunus Are being systematically wiped out one by one along the Bangladesh-Myanmar border

The Rakhine and Bangladesh border is important strategically for Bangladesh It is the only area that does not border with India And you know that relations of Bangladesh and India are not going well

The Arakan army says that the people of Rakhine Have always been excluded from Myanmar's political and economic system The Arakan Army says that under the control of Myanmar's military junta

Many human rights abuses are happening to the people of Rakhine And they have an Arakan dream Which is demanding a sovereign or semi-autonomous Rakhine state

Most of the members of the this group are Buddhists of Rakhine The group works as a nationalist movement that promotes Rakhine identity According to the sources Arakan army

11 militant groups are active in the Rohingya refugee camps in Bangladesh These groups have allegations that they Are murdering, kidnapping and assaulting women in Rakhine

And the Arakan army is taking action against them So now the question arises why is this news so important? You may be aware of the situation in Bangladesh

The violent coup d'etat that took place in Bangladesh with the help of the US deep state After that, Sheikh Hasina was driven away from Bangladesh And the situation of the minorities has deteriorated there

After 5 August, in 52 districts, 205 attacks have been reported against the minorities in 7 days Bangladeshi ex-soldiers are talking about capturing India You must have heard of "Khayali Pulao," but "Khayali 56 Bhog" is being seen for the first time

We are seeing the 'Khayali Buffet' for the first time And the funny thing is, when these rude uncles were sitting facing Kolkata Then, from behind, the Arakan Army

Such a huge, huge iron rod, just imagine Now, this matter is still in debate that the Arakan Army has done this misdeed Did they do this with Chinese support or with American support?

Because remember, China and America both have A plan to take control on some parts of Bangladesh So that they can better control the Bay of Bengal, which is a major trade route

Also, remember that Doval had recently visited China And the major funding and weapon supply for the Arakan Army comes from China Infact 95% of the Arakan army's funding comes from China

In 2020, when the relations of India and China were not good Then a big consignment was allegedly sent to the Arakan army from China Which was sent through the Chittagong hill tracks of Bangladesh to Myanmar

So, by sending these weapons to the Arakan Army China wanted to increase its influence on the India-Myanmar border And wanted to reduce India's influence

A few years ago, China's control was so much on the Arakan army, That with their help, India had a road project of 220 million in Myanmar Which was completely stopped

The Arakan army used to kidnap workers and members who worked on the project But after October 2024, when the border dispute between India and China was solved It was decided that India and China would try to solve the differences more diplomatically

Try to de-escalate and try to make mutual respect better After this, India's external affairs minister Jaishankar He had met his Chinese counterpart, Wang Yi, in Rio de Janeiro

So, taking advantage of these improved relations, something has been done in Rakhine Remember that some time ago India also tried to build a better relationship with the Arakan army

On 29th February of this year, an Indian delegation led by K. Vanlalvena Who is a member of the Rajya Sabha He had a surprise cross-border visit to the Arakan health territory of Myanmar

He also met and discussed with the Arakan army members near Paletwa His mission was to restart the road project that India is doing there To build a better relationship with the Arakan army

And this road project is very important for India Because it connects the landlocked area of the North East with Myanmar in the West And through it, gives maritime access to the landlocked North East

So now, look at what the Arakan Army has done in Rakhine What are the implications of that for Bangladesh? Remember that when Bangladesh did the Islamic revolution and removed Sheikh Hasina

And with the help of America, a puppet government was installed With the help of Islamist organizations So let's see, After this glorious revolution

What is the situation of Bangladesh, which is the favorite country of some Indian YouTubers? Bangladesh is setting a very big positive example today For its neighboring countries on how development is truly achieved

Their GDP rate has now decreased to only 2.5%. Their foreign reserves, which was around 48 billion in 2022 Has now decreased to just 18 billion

Now, they have spoiled their relations with India, they want to do Ghazwa-e-hind in India Which means that they had only one land border left From where they import essential things like potatoes, sugar, and cotton

Which is very important for their textile industry along with refined petroleum products Now, there are fences on that border as well So, how do I explain this current situation of Bangladesh?

What do I explain? You listen it from him So, basically, their economy is in a very bad condition after this so-called revolutio

On top of that, take a look at the icing on the cake Look, the majority of Bangladesh's electricity is brought from India And their economy is so bad that the electricity they get from India

They haven't even paid for it yet In fact, their majority electricity comes from Adani And Bangladesh owes 800 million dollar to Adani

And 100 crores to Tripura just for electricity, which they haven't paid for yet Now, Bangladesh is threatening that they will import electricity from Nepal But you don't have a direct connection with Nepal

To import electricity from Nepal, you have to depend on India's kindness Only if India allows transit then only you can import electricity On top of that look at the situation that has deteriorated right now b/w India and Bangladesh

Along with that, they haven't paid Adani's bill yet So, the Adani group has already reduced the electricity supply of Bangladesh by 50%. And Tripura has almost completely shut down the supply

And go ahead, start a revolution! Look, the state of the country is in a very bad condition at this time The students on whose shoulders they carried out the so-called "Glorious Revolution"

Where Sheikh Hasina was removed Today the same students are protesting against this new puppet government On top of that, the puppet government is doing baton charge and throwing tear gas.

The workers of many factories in Bangladesh They haven't received any payment since this glorious revolution Bangladesh is in such a bad condition at this time

That if you notice, after this grand revolution in August Bangladesh's openly anti-India rhetoric has also decreased At least from the government's side

It seems that the government has gone into damage control mode But now let's go back to the development of Myanmar-Bangladesh border Now see, a significant amount of credit for the insights I have drawn here goes to

There is a geopolitical expert on Twitter whose name is Harpreet Who has a Twitter account by name cestmoiz That is, at C-E-S-T-M-O-I-Z.

Please go and follow him on Twitter Many of the insights I have drawn here are directly taken from his thread So all credit to him

He said something that I found very interesting And I want to know how interesting or surprising you find it He said that as soon as he saw that the Arakan army has captured the border

Between Bangladesh and Myanmar His mind first pointed to Syria Because according to him, the great game is on

Look, you must have noticed that since the glorious revolution has taken place And there have been consistent attacks on the minorities of Bangladesh There are many people in India who have said that India should send an army to Bangladesh

And the way we broke the area from Pakistan in 1971, In the same way, we should break some areas from Bangladesh and join them back in India So that the Hindu minorities of Bangladesh can live safely in those areas

People have especially talked about the Chittagong area and Chittagong hill tracks But the problem here is that if India tries to take a step there, Then China which is supporting the Arakan army

Has a clear goal of capturing a strategic location like the Chittagong port Because look, whoever controlled Bay of Bengal He basically captured both the big entry points of Bay of Bengal

The Malacca Straitand Indian Ocean route Which is one of the world's largest trading routes, and they have taken control over it too Reports are coming that USA is looking for a base on St. Martin's Island in Bangladesh

And China wants to capture the Sittwe Port So if things are going on the same trajectory that Bangladesh is going on Then Bangladesh can very soon go towards a Syria-type situation

There is a chance of chaos at the borders of India Because now there are three major powers who can claim their stake in Bangladesh Bangladesh is a highly destabilized country

Where there may be a fight between India, China and the USA to fill the power vacuum In which it is possible that some part of Bangladesh will be cut off Harpreet believes that the Bangladesh that existed before the revolution no longer exists

And according to him, it may never come back Now see, Bangladesh has itself brought its situation to this point They have decided that they do not want to develop like India

But rather want to go on the path of Pakistan So, look, if you follow Pakistan's path, the country will surely break apart History repeats itself

And here too, it may be possible that history is going to repeat But this time it can be more messy than 1971 And it will have a big downside for India

That the Akaran army, which is creating Rohingya refugees They will send them to Bangladesh and these Bangladeshis will send them to India It may be possible that in the coming months

There will be another big refugee crisis at the borders of India There will be one refugee, who are Hindus, who are escaping the persecution in Bangladesh The other one is Rohingya, who are being harassed by the Arakan army in Bangladesh

Now after this, Harpreet said something that I personally found very interesting And I want to know how interesting or plausible this thing seems to you Harpreet suggested that Bangladesh's situation today is similar to that of 1971

He mentioned six points explaining why First, the democratically elected government was not allowed to stay in power And was forcefully removed

Second, The refugee crisis has emerged Third, there is a superpower rivalry going on in the Bay of Bengal Not only the US and China, but also the Russian navy has recently visited the Bay of Bengal

Fourth, there is a complete chaos on the roads of Bangladesh Fifth, There is rampant persecution of minorities And Sixth, economic stress is increasing because the law and order has practically collapsed.

There is one more problem with Bangladesh That there is no close friend to whom help can be asked So there is a lot of chaos in Bangladesh right now

But whenever a new order comes, it emerges from the chaos Whether it is the chaos of World War II or the chaos of the 1971 Operation Searchlight And if India has played its cards correctly

Then after 2024, a new order may emerge in the area of Bangladesh And look, the most important thing that comes here In 1971, India freed Bangladesh from Pakistan and did a very big favor

Maybe it's time to repay that favor And repayment means that the Chittagong area, including the Chittagong Hill Tracks Which is not only a strategically important place

But also a place where many Hindus and Buddhists live I have already told you why it is strategically important On top of that, the eyes of both the USA and China are on this place

And they are planning how to exploit the instability of Bangladesh at this time If we talk about this region, then it is important to remember one more thing That India's northeast region is landlocked

There is no ocean access there If India gets access to the Chittagong Port Then it will completely transform the trade dynamics of the Northeast

The Northeast can become a major trade hub for East and Southeast Asia And it will not only have a regional impact that an economic boom will come in the Northeast Rather, there will be a massive economic boost for India's overall economy

So strategically and economically, this area can be a game changer for India Understanding its importance and unlocking its potential will be crucial for the coming days It is not only a border issue

But also the issue of geopolitical, economic and strategic interests of India Apart from this, this area could be a perfect place for those refugees Who are currently trying to seek refuge in India or might attempt to do so in the coming months

In this way, those refugees can also get a new life In a place and environment that feels like home to them And where they can be free from the Islamic terrorism of the Bangladeshi state

A region that can become a safe haven for these displaced communities That also safeguards India's cultural and strategic interests So now is the time for India to be proactive in its interests

And view Chittagong as a form of payment for 1971 Look, history has always taught us that strategic opportunities don’t come around often And if the right action is not taken at the right time, that opportunity might be lost forever

Bangladesh is not just landlocked The situation of Bangladesh is such that 95 percent of its borders are with India Along with that, on its shores, it depends on the mercy of the Indian Navy

The Indian Navy has previously operated freely at Bangladesh's ports And has destroyed targets there If you look at the map of India and Bangladesh

You will see that India's Air Force bases are located very close to Bangladesh's borders The picture will become quite clear People are saying that if India tries something

Then Bangladesh will ask for help from both China and US Look, in 1971, even when India was relatively weaker Even then, the help from the USA and China did not support their illegitimate father in any way

Today, India is much stronger, and the world is aware of how strong it is The biggest pillars of Bangladesh's economy whether it’s the textile industry, electricity, or trade They all are heavily reliant on India

They may ask for help from China But China has its own agenda to take control of areas in Bangladesh After the glorious revolution, Bangladesh no longer has any true friends left

There was one friend, India, but now they want to carry out Ghazwa-e-Hind there The current Bangladesh has no future until they accept that The chaos they have brought upon themselves can only be resolved by India

But here, there is no need for India to help India should not be like Nehru; India needs to be like Chanakya India needs to tighten the screws in Bangladesh

Increase economic and political pressure continuously, and aggressively secure your borders And wait until Bangladesh becomes completely desperate; wait patiently until then Napoleon Bonaparte once said, "Never interrupt your enemy when he is making a mistake"

And today, Bangladesh is caught in the web of its own mistakes Maybe right now, it's not the correct time to take action Keep applying economic and political pressure on Bangladesh

Until Bangladesh begins to crumble from within Because if action is taken now, there are many enemies surrounding us There is Bangladesh, China and there could potentially be an anti-India government in Nepal

All are very close to the Chicken Neck area Now, wait until Biden is out, the influence of the deep state decreases in America And Donald Trump becomes president again

When Donald Trump becomes president again Hopefully, the relations between India and the USA will become strong once more After that, if Bangladesh's economy worsens, it could lead to a refugee crisis there

And if a refugee crisis on the level of 1971 occurs It may become necessary to carve out an area from Bangladesh to protect the refugees And remember, at this time, both China and America are eager to carve up Bangladesh

That's why India needs to stay proactive Instead of seeing areas like Feni, Chittagong and Rangpur on China's or America's map They should be on India's map

So, in this operation, it may take some time—maybe a few months, or even a few years But when the opportunity arises, India will have to play its cards with perfect timing Before China or the USA can make their move

And I want to wrap up today's video with this And those who are upset about the fact that you're talking about breaking Bangladesh apart How can you say this? To those people, I want to say one thing

The borders that India shares with Pakistan and Bangladesh They are completely unnatural, completely artificial And an insult to India's history and civilization

These borders are completely unstable in their existence; they are not even 100 years old It is inevitable that at some point in the future, these borders will change How these borders will change in the future, I don’t know; only Maa Bhawani knows

But one thing is certain: the next few years could be a civilizational turning point for India If we act strategically and wisely And I want to ask you, do you think there is an opportunity for India here?

To carve out some land from Bangladesh and settle refugees there If you think this is possible, please let me know, and if you think it is completely impossible I am just talking nonsense, please tell me that as well

And please go and follow Harpreet, his Twitter handle is @cestmoi Meaning @cestmoi Please become a member on our YouTube and Patreon if you haven’t already

I’ll see you in the next episode, and until then, stay healthy and happy We will meet again, and to all of you A Secular Greeting!