India's Energy Future: Projections for 2030

foreign [Music] I'm avantika I lead the climate change

program at the Center for Science and environment [Music]

a new report by India's power Ministry particularly the central electricity Authority offers updated projections on

what India's energy makes for the power sector could look like in 2030. currently about 73 percent of India's

power comes from coal which is expected to go down to 55 percent by 2030. renewable sources will rise to 31 in

2030 from about 12 right now it's important to note that power capacity differs from generation

capacity is the maximum power a plant can produce and is typically expressed in what's generation is the actual

amount of power produced in one hour expressed in terms of what hours if we look at solar and wind power alone

India's capacity and generation are both expected to quadruple CA estimates that for coal plants about

2000 megawatts is considered for likely retirement by 2030 of which they say 304 megawatts will be retired already during

the year 2022 and 2023 but with Rising power demand while the share of coal will reduce in the Energy

Mix Coal Power will rise in absolute terms by about 19 in terms of capacity and by 13 in terms of generation the cea

published the same report in 2020 and the current version is an update from that version

some of the projections have been revised so for example power generation that was projected for coal has gone up

from 54 to 55 in 2030 compared to the 2020 report they have also raised the hydropower generation from 8 to 9

solar is expected to take a bigger chunk of future power needs as compared to the previous report so they've revised the

projection upwards from 19 to 23 percent the cea has also revised its projections for total installed power capacity

downwards they are now saying that about 777 gigawatts of installed power capacity will be required in 2030 as

compared to 817 gigawatts that they had projected in the previous version of the report

CE also gives a projection for the storage capacity that will be required by 2013. about 60 gigawatts from both

pumped Hydro as well as battery storage India has green hydrogen aspirations and they will lead to an additional energy

requirement of 250 billion units by 2030. this is a lot to put this in context in 2022 India generated only 173

billion units from solar and wind energy for its basic power needs Cas projection indicate that India is

likely to over achieve on its pledge to the Paris agreement which was to have 50 percent of installed power capacity from

non-fossil sources by 2030. as per the report India's share of capacity from non-fossil sources will be 62 percent by

2030 and if we consider nuclear power as well it will actually be 64 percent the power sector contributes about 40

percent of India's total greenhouse gas emissions we have growing energy demand as is

expected of a developing country as a result our power sector emissions are projected to rise 11 by 2013. today our

power sector emissions comprise about eight percent of global power sector emissions in 2030 we will comprise 10

percent of the corresponding Global figure on a per capita basis even in 2030 this

will be about half the world average for India to know more about environment Science and Technology head to the

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