2026 Market Overview: Tech and Commodity Challenges
- Silver has dropped 40% from recent highs, reflecting commodity market volatility.
- The software sector ETF IGV is down 24% year-to-date.
- Major tech stocks (Mag 7) like Intuit, Salesforce, Adobe, Nvidia, Meta, Apple, Google, Tesla, Amazon, and Microsoft face significant declines ranging from 16% to over 40%.
- Despite tech struggles, traditional and consumer staples like Walmart, Costco, Coca-Cola, and Home Depot show green in the S&P 500 heatmap.
Micron (MU) and SanDisk: Booming Memory Stocks with Caution
Performance and Growth Drivers
- MU and SanDisk are outperforming the S&P 500 with YTD gains of 274% and 1150% respectively due to soaring memory demand driven by AI and technology expansion.
- Metrics such as revenue, net and gross margins, earnings per share, and operating cash flow are all trending sharply upward.
- Forward PE for Micron remains under 10, unusual given its growth.
Industry Cycles and Risks
- Memory markets historically cycle through boom and bust periods; we are currently in the biggest boom cycle on record.
- Anticipated moderation and potential bust cycle expected around 2027–2028.
- Micron's strategic focus on large AI customers, having exited consumer markets, poses concentration risks compared to competitors like Samsung retaining consumer segments.
Investment Takeaway
- Micron and SanDisk are not bubbles but value traps: strong companies with cyclical risks limiting long-term stock appreciation.
- Stock likely to trade sideways between $300–$500 in the near term.
- Shorting or buying puts is risky due to strong near-term earnings and low valuations.
For more on navigating tech stock challenges, see Navigating Market Volatility: Tesla, PayPal, and SaaS Stock Insights.
Amazon: The Ultimate Long-Term Stock Buy
Current Situation
- Amazon facing short-term headwinds due to heavy capital expenditures and Spiking depreciation costs primarily linked to AWS expansion.
- AWS operating margins near 35% with growth accelerating, projected to reach $600 billion to $1 trillion annual revenue within a decade.
Long-Term Growth Projections
- Amazon expected to grow to $2-$3 trillion in annual revenue over ten years with net income around $500 billion.
- Market cap could surpass $10 trillion, joining a future cohort of multi-trillion-dollar companies.
Investment Perspective
- Patience is key: short-term volatility common during large investment cycles.
- Strong leadership and diversified business units underpin a sustainable long-term growth story.
High-Quality Non-Tech Stocks to Watch
Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)
- Combination of a profitable core business and growth engines like North Italia and Flower Child concept expansions.
- Expected revenue growth at 7–9% annually and net income growth at 9–11%.
- Attractive dividend payout enhances total return.
ELF Beauty
- Volatile but strong growth profile with multiple acquisitions contributing to accelerated revenue expansion.
- Projected bullish price targets ranging from $160 to $272 by 2029.
SoFi Technologies
- Positioned as a future-focused fintech/banking platform with strong member growth and revenue/margin improvements.
- Management's risk discipline supports sustainability.
Honorable Mention: Nike
- Clear turnaround underway with improving North American and Chinese market performance.
SaaS Apocalypse? Top 5 SaaS Stocks Ranked
Market Context
- SaaS stocks are undergoing significant sell-offs, creating buying opportunities.
- Potential for some SaaS companies to become value traps amid growth concerns.
Rankings and Rationales
- Salesforce (CRM) – Forward PE 14, expected EPS growth 14%, revenue growth 9%; strong product suite and AI integration prospects.
- ServiceNow (NOW) – Higher PE around 25, but with expected strong EPS and revenue growth near 19%; deeply embedded in enterprise systems.
- Adobe (ADBE) – Facing skepticism but maintains strong double-digit growth in several segments; crucial marketing and creative products.
- Intuit (INTU) – Stable with essential financial software like QuickBooks; EPS growth around 13%; strong business model.
- Palo Alto Networks (PANW) – Cybersecurity demand remains strong; PE in the 30s with double-digit growth expected; AI impact likely positive.
Investment Strategy
- Gradual accumulation recommended to capitalize on weakness.
- Focus on long-term growth potential and market leadership.
For strategic approaches to today's market volatility including SaaS stocks, refer to Market Insights: Understanding Corrections, Tariffs, and Investment Strategies.
Final Thoughts
- 2026 stock market features stark contrasts: tech and commodity struggles versus strong non-tech and value companies.
- Emphasis on long-term perspectives key to navigating volatility.
- Diversify across growth, value, and dividend stocks for balanced portfolio construction.
Additional Resources
- Access to private investment groups offering education, community support, and advanced analytics at thousandx.com.
- Regular updates and detailed stock evaluations available through dedicated platforms.
For guidance on weathering downturns, see Navigating Stock Market Crashes: Strategies for Wise Investors.
Stay informed, invest wisely, and maintain a long-term horizon to succeed in today’s dynamic market environment.
Flapjacks all over the place. Look at silver, ladies and gentlemen. Is now down for the year. That's absolutely
fascinating because silver was the main subject it seemed like of just a few weeks ago. And now silver is down 40%
from those highs of a few weeks ago. Look at this. This is IGV. This is the uh basically like the software ETF. And
uh it has died of death now at this point in time. Look at this. I mean, keep in mind folks, we're a month and a
half into the year and it's down 24%. absolutely dead. Those stocks continue to get obliterated. Look at Intuitit
stock. Intuitit I mean literally you just go back 6 12 months ago everybody would call into it one of the best
business models in the world right and look at this stock is down 42.5% year to date. Absolutely nasty.
Salesforce down over 30% year to date. Once again, this is another one. You go back 12, 18 months
ago. People call this one of the greatest business models in the world. And these stocks are just being sell
sold relentlessly right now, right? Can't catch a break for that stock. Look at Adobe. This stock is down 25 plus%
year to date. It's getting hard. I will say with Adobe, it's starting to get hard to push the stock down. The Ford P
is down to like 11 or 10 now at this point in time. So, that one's getting tough to push down. Service Now got some
great news today and it still didn't end up mattering. The stock ended up red after it was very green early in the
morning. Essentially, that stock's down well over 30% so far this year. And once again, we're a month and a half into the
year. Unbelievable. Mag 7 stocks suck in 2026. Look at this. Every single stock is Red Dead Redemption this year. Every
single one. I mean, unbelievable. Nvidia's down. Meta's down. Apple's down. I thought I was kind of shocked
Apple's down cuz I thought like Apple was having a good year and then I looked and I was like, "Oh, no. Apple's
actually red for the year. That's crazy." Google McDougall's down. Tesla's down. Amazon's down big. And Mr. Softy,
Microsoft is a worst of them all with a 16 plus% downward move here in 2026. Look at this. This shows you a heat map
of the S&P 500. And man, there's a lot of great green pockets out there. Walmart, Costco, Coca-Cola, Pepsi,
Proctor and Gamble, Home Depot, you know, Caterpillar, John Deere, like you go through a lot of these companies, a
lot of the energy stocks, very nicely green, but man, a lot of these Mag 7 type stocks just not the place.
Meanwhile, you look at a stock like this, I posted this on my X page here today if you ever want to follow me on
X, I always have it linked in the description area down there. I said this boring restaurant stock has outperformed
90 plus% of tech stocks the past few years. And uh it's fascinating, right? Cake has basically 2xed my money from my
initial buys, you know, just back in uh kind of like mid 2023. Fascinating. A stock like that performing tremendous up
almost $70,000 and it doesn't account for dividends received in that stock. Since I started buying Cake, Cake's
basically doubled, right? Meanwhile, IGV, that software ETF, is up 36%. And Mr. Softy is up 28%. Shows you, you
know, if you get in the right positions, it can, you know, change things dramatically, especially in regards to
the timing you get in. Look at a stock like ELF. ELF's up almost 12% this year. It's been a very volatile year for the
stock, but at the end of the day, it's been a good year so far. Like, you can make 12% in a month and a half. You'll
gladly take that. Nike is green for the year. We'll take it. Estee Lauder, this stock's up over 5% year to date, you
know. Boring stocks, man. They're winning. They're winning. You know, Mag 7, it's got all the talk and all the
hype the last several years, tech stocks in general, but those stocks are just not the play right now. It's these
boring companies that no one's won the past 3 years that all of a sudden we're seeing a flood of money come into them,
right? Look at this. This is my hedge against Tesla stock is 2x leverage against Tesla. It's up over 18%
this year. Talk about a phenomenal hedge, right? Four core subjects I want to get into in this video here today.
One, are Micron MU and SanDisk tricks or traits? Are those stocks, those have been two of the hottest stocks in the
stock market the past year, even year to date. Um, are they a great buy or is this a trick situation? We'll talk about
that at the top of this video. Second, I want to talk about the ultimate long-term
stock to buy essentially. Okay, the stock that is the next 10 years setup so phenomenal for them. We'll talk about
that in this video and what stock that is. Third subject up here, we'll talk about three non- tech stocks that I love
right now. Well, fourth subject, SAS Apocalypse. It's going on. I'm going to rank in this video my top five SAS
stocks in this video here today. Talk about a freaking banger. Is this a banger or is this a banger, baby? Okay,
this is a banger of a video. One thing, one thing only I need from you guys. If you haven't already done so, just hit
that little thumbs up button. Smash that little like button for me. I hope you can do that. I've been prepping this
video for hours and hours and hours for you guys here today. And all I need is a little smashing in return. Okay?
Appreciate you for being here. Make sure you're subscribed. Make sure you got notifications on. all that good stuff.
Okay, listen. This is a one-year chart of SanDisk and Micron versus S&P 500. S&P 500 up, you
know, 11%. MU stocks up 274% and SanDisk up a shocking 1,150%. Unbelievable. Memory for the win, right?
So, look at a stock like MU here. Okay, MU right around $400 here today. Look at the trillion to a month trend of
revenue. Clearly, it's up and to the right. But look what's about to happen to the revenue. It's going to go to the
moon. So, when you see a stock like MU and you see the stock up so dramatically, right? You know, almost
300% over the past year, understand it's not for no reason. It's because their business is blowing up in a great way
right now, right? what they're able to command for pricing of memory is going through the roof and memory in general,
demand for memory in general is going through the roof. You got to understand all this AI is using unbelievable
amounts of memory. Okay? And so this isn't going to stop. Like this is unbelievable amounts of memory that need
to be used over the next several years. When you see Nvidia making all this money over the next few years, when you
see AMD making all this money over the next few years, just understand this doesn't happen without memory. It's a
core like need in these products essentially. Look at the trend of net margins and gross margins for Micron.
And this isn't over. It's going to go much higher before it goes lower. I can tell you that in regards to net margins
and gross margins, this trend will continue for quite some time here. Okay. Additionally, this shows you we're
looking at thousandx.com, by the way, here. Check out the trailing 12-month earnings per share. This is where we're
at right now. It's an insane increase over the last several quarters, but it's nothing. Literally nothing compared to
where these earnings per share is going over the next 12 months essentially. It's going to be like a night and day
difference for MU overall, right? Operating cash flow. This is where we're at right now for operating cash flow for
Micron. Imagine where this number is a year from now with the demand that Micron has, with the pricing they're
able to command. Oh my gosh. And here, ladies and gentlemen, ladies and gentlemen of the jury. Here is the most
amazing thing about all this. I just showed you demand for memory is going insane. Pricing is going insane. The
revenue is going insane. Net margins are exploding higher. Gross margins are exploding higher. Earnings per share is
exploding higher. It looks like the perfect scenario and the perfect stock and none of this AI wave happens without
memory, right? And keep in mind there's only a few major memory companies in the world, right? But the best part of this
whole story is this. The forward PE on Micron is under 10. If you look at that and
you're like, dude, how is that even possible? This company's business is going insane. The numbers they're going
to put up for the next several years are going to be ridiculous. How is this company trading at a Ford P of 10? You
would think it'd be 30, 50, 70, 90 Ford P. Like way higher number than 10, right? Well, here's the deal. Okay, so
we know the earnings per share is going to go insane this year. We know it's going to take another leg higher in 27,
right? And we know it's probably even going to go up in 28. But here's the issue. We have a major
moderation that likely comes in 2028. Could come in 2027, but I think 2027 will still be a nice increase. It's
going to be way less of an increase in 26. Keep that in mind. But things are going to start to moderate definitely in
2028 in my opinion. So then you got to ask yourself, what happens after that? Well, here's what happens to memory chip
companies. They go through busts and boom cycles. A bust and then a boom and then a boom and then a bust. And it's
over and over and over and over again. I'm showing you right now the earnings per share on a quarterly basis of Micron
over the years. Okay, this is dating all the way back to kind of like 2011. So we can go back. Basically, it's like a
15-year chart, right? So MU right here is going through a complete bust cycle in regards to memory demand. Then they
go through a boom cycle. Then they go through a bus cycle. Then they go through an insane boom cycle. And guess
what happens right after that? A big bus cycle. And then right after that, guess what happens? a big boom cycle followed
by guess what? A massive bust cycle followed by guess what? What we're in right now is a massive boom cycle. Not
only are we in a boom cycle, this is the biggest boom cycle Micron's going to have ever seen in the their business
models history by a mile, right? And that's also why the stock's way higher than we've ever seen it before, right?
So, we're in a boom cycle. We're going to be in this boom cycle and these numbers are going to be insane for the
next couple years, right? What do you think's happening after that? H I'm going to go out there in a limb and I'm
going to say a few years from now there's going to be a massive bust cycle. Ladies and gentlemen, that is why
people don't want to pay up for Micron stock. That is why it trades at a Ford P of 10 because everybody's understanding,
yeah, this company's going to have an unbelievable year this year, an unbelievable year next year, and then
things start to moderate in 28. And guess what [clears throat] happens after that? likely major bust cycle and the
bust could be even bigger than previous bust because this boom cycle is way bigger and way more dramatic than
anything we've seen before, right? So that's something to keep in mind. Now some people will say, okay, you know,
and I'm sure these memory chip companies will make an argument like we're not going to go through another bus cycle.
No way. Mm- never going to happen. The business models have changed forever. It's only up and to the right. Right. I
call BS on that. I don't believe that. I don't believe that for a second. This is the same industry that it's
been. And AI demand is going to always be there, right? Demand for memory is going to
continue to be there, but that doesn't mean you don't go through bus cycles. If I showed you the past 15 years of demand
for memory, guess what it is? Up into the right. It's like, I don't care what you use. I don't care if you're talking
computers. I don't care if you're talking cell phones. I don't care if you're talking gaming consoles. I don't
care if you're talking a refrigerator. Everything seems like he uses memory down nowadays and way more memory than
we've ever seen in any point in history. And yet, despite the need for memory just going up and up and up, look at
Micron over the years. Massive boom in bus cycles again and again and again. And so that argument around like well
the demand for memory for the next 10 years 20 years is going to go higher because of AI and because electronics
and all this stuff doesn't mean you're still not going through a bus cycle. It's been going higher for 30 40 50
years forever now at this point in time and yet you still go through these boom and bust cycles. So that's what's
important to to keep in mind in regards to the subject, right? The other kind of risk in regards to specifically Micron
is they have abandoned their consumer business now at this point in time and they're basically uh kind of betting the
farm on, you know, these big customers, the AI companies and things like that, right? And so Samsung, SKH Heinix uh
believe holding on to the consumer market gives them pressure valve if AI demand ever slows down in 2028. They
still have millions of gamers and laptop makers to sell to, Micron will have nowhere else to go. So that's something
just to kind of keep in mind in regards to Micron specific. So what Micron looks like to me and what SanDisk looks like
to me, okay, they don't look like huge bubbles. I will No, no, no, no, no, no. People say, "Oh, those are huge bubbles
cuz the stocks went up a lot." They they're not huge bubbles. I'll tell you exactly what they are. They're value
traps. Valuet Trap is a stock that is a company, a great company, very well known. They have a needs-based product a
lot of times, right? And they're able to produce unbelievable cash flows, unbelievable profits, but at
the end of the day, the stock does nothing because it's going to go through troubles in the future. And so, people
are not willing to pay up for it. And so, you see it trading cheap and you're like, "This is the greatest deal ever.
Look at the company's growth. Uh, look at the company's P ratio. This is this is magnificent. I've just found the most
mag perfect stock in the world. Right? And what you end up getting into is a major value trap. And a good example of
that that I've got into over the past few years, it's been a huge value trap. Perfect example, I'll give you a stock.
You know what it is? PayPal, otherwise known as PayPal. PayPal's been a huge value trap the last several years. And
as somebody that's been an investor of that company, 100% look at their revenues. They've been up and to the
right. Look at their profitability, right? And at the end of the day, and look at how low their PE is. Does it
mean anything for the stock price? No. It's been a huge value trap, right? People don't want to pay up for that
company because they look at it and they're like, nah, really low growth rates, right? And so Micron's going
through this time period when they're in a boom. They're going to be in a boom for the next two, three years, and then
it's coming the bust, right? And people just don't want to, they don't want to, you know, bid up a stock dramatically
more. that's going to going to have a bus cycle uh you know we can call it a few years from now essentially now some
people might say oh you know I want to buy put options on a stock like this not smart
highly risky not on Micron listen you got a company here that's going to make bank for at least the next two years
2026 and 2027 are going to be unbelievable years for Micron you don't want to step in front of that no way and
with the Ford P at 10. Nah, I'm good. That's not a smart bet. You might be able to get lucky and maybe buy a put
option, you know, and the stock goes down shortterm or something like that. But I'm just like, there's way better
opportunities than that. You usually, if you're going to come in and bet against a stock, you want to bet against a stock
that, you know, doesn't have earnings, right? Or is in a situation where the valuation is just trading insane.
Micron's got earnings for days. Oh my gosh, they got plenty of earnings. They got no shortage of earnings for that
company over the next few years, right? And the P's dirt cheap. So to buy put options against that stock, it's just
not a smart decision, man. Not a smart decision. And just because the stocks went up a lot is not a reason to bet
against it. There might be a time period when it makes sense to bet against Micron, but I wouldn't do it right now.
Oh, heck no. You get out of the way. That's a freight train right now, right? No. At the end of the day, Micron stock
in my opinion. Where's the stock price going over the next few years? It's going to be stuck. I think it's going to
be a stuck stock for the next few years. I think it's going to be stuck between $300 and $500 a share. People feeling
bullish, they'll bid it up to 500ish. And they're feeling bearish, they'll bid it down to or, you know, send it down to
300 range, right? And um I think that's just where it's going to be for years to go in the future. And so anybody betting
that, oh, the stock's going to crash in the next few years here down to 150. I don't think that's very real realistic.
And people thinking, oh, this stock's going to a thousand over the next few years. I don't think that's realistic
either. I think this is a stock that will just be stuck for years. That's my personal opinion. I could be wrong on
that, but don't be surprised if year by year goes by and it's like, oh, there's Micron. It's still in that 300 to 500ish
range, right? So, we'll see. But that's what I foresee in regards to that matter. Okay. All righty. Next up here,
the ultimate long-term stock to buy. Then we'll get into three non- tech stocks that I love right now in the SAS
apocalypse. I'll rank my top five stocks in order that are the best buys in regards to that. Before we get into that
pinned comment down there today, if you're looking to apply join private group, that is access to all my course
curriculum. There's really three components you get when you join us in the private group. It's exclusive group,
by the way, of 3,000 members. But you get the education component of all of my best courses. become a master stock
market, millionaire playbook, stock options mastery, dividend investing mastery, financial statements mastery,
Jeremy's valuation m mastery. That's component number one. The second component is our Discord chat in our
community, which has 3,000 members in it. Many of those members have multi6 figures in the portfolio, seven figure,
eight figure investors. Okay? And the third component you get when you get access to the private group is you get
access to my advanced software, thousandx.com, which I use on a daily basis to run my projections on companies
and where these stocks are going over time. look into them, do research, all that good stuff. Okay. You also get
other features like being able to see the moves I'm making each week and exclusive weekly videos, all that good
stuff as well. But those are three main components. The education, the community, and the advanced software.
Okay, that will be pinned comment down there. Click on that, fill out a form. We'll see if we can get you access in
there either this week or next week. Okay, the ultimate stock to buy longterm. Listen, it's Amazon without
question. This is a stock, okay, that just understand with Amazon, don't get super bowled up about the stock in the
short term, okay? They're spending like insane right now there that depreciation is going to hit over the next few years.
There's going to be questions about AWS and if they're really spending on, you know, so much that it's really going to
help AWS growth rates and those sorts of things, right? But I back this up, okay, Amazon's a stock that has returned
164,000%. Long term. It's unbelievable, right? But throughout this time of what 30 years or
whatever since the company went public, right? There's been plenty of time periods when the stock went down
significantly or didn't do anything for quite some time, right? This could happen for months. It could happen for
years, right? Where the stock would go down and would go nowhere. It' be no man's land. And right now, we're kind of
in one of those time periods when the stock's just in no man's land, right? And the reason, there's usually two
reasons why all of these situations happen. One is they had to go through a major investment period and Wall Street
kind of pushed back against that. Investors pushed back against that. Like, oh my gosh, Amazon's about to
invest so much money. You know, it's a hold back of the company, right? And the second reason is if growth rates were
slower uh than people thought they were going to be, right? And part of that was kind of in the tech bubble blow up
there. You say valuation as well, but definitely growth rates weren't as epic as some people had had thought they'd
be. Even in the great financial crisis, that happened as well, right? And so those are kind of the two main things
that can happen and can push Amazon stock down or just make it flat for quite some time. Right? Now, if you you
Amazon's not spending all this money for no reason, right? Just think about this for a moment.
Amazon says they're going to go out and spend $200 billion this year on capex, right? And much of that's really for
their AWS business. They're not doing that just to do that. Okay? They're doing that likely because
they believe this can accelerate AWS growth significantly and AWS can be set up for the next decade if not the next
two decades, right, of major growth. Now, what we're seeing right now is AWS growth is accelerating. Okay, I think we
pushed this last quarter, don't quote me on this, but I think we're pushing to like around a mid mid 20% low to mid 20%
uh growth rate in AWS. AWS should continue to accelerate growth for a bit here. Okay, so I think the
reason Amazon's spending so much money, okay, is I believe they think they can probably grow that business at like a
20% Kaggar for the next decade. Now that might not happen, but let's say hypothetically they do. Let's say they
are able to achieve a 20% compounded annual growth rate on that AWS business over the next decade essentially. Okay.
Well, guess what? They're going to have around a trillion dollar a year business if they're able to do that. Okay. Around
a trillion dollars a year. Now, let's say that's not achievable. Let's say instead of that, let's say maybe, you
know, the next few years with this AI wave are really high growth rates. Let's say they're growing at like a 30% clip,
mid20s. That's very achievable over the next few years, right? mid 20s to maybe into the 30s when it comes to their
percentage growth. But then let's say after this whole big AI wave, let's say growth rates slow and they start going
into like the 10 12 15% range. And so let's say they achieve like a 15% Kagar over the years. This company still ends
up reaching in 2035 a half a trillion dollar plus a year business. Okay, 2036, so a decade from now, we're
talking about a $600 billion a year business. a year business. Okay, which is incredible and I think that's very
achievable. So the way I would look at this is I believe Amazon, this is my thought. I believe Amazon
thinks they're going to be able to grow AWS business to a $600 billion to a trillion dollar a year business over the
next decade. That's my belief on what they're doing and why they're spending so aggressively. And it all starts to
make sense why they're going to do that because the profits on AWS are are pretty phenomenal right now. Keep in
mind they're not the only ones spending. Microsoft spending heavily here. Google spending heavily is here as well. I
believe all these companies think they're going to grow their businesses very nicely. And honestly, the growth
rates are very impressive. Azure, which is Microsoft's product last quarter, I believe that grew around 38% or
somewhere around there. Google's cloud business is booming right now. I mean absolutely booming right now. So it's
it's a there's plenty of money to go around in this space over the next several years for these companies right
now. The profit factor when it comes to AWS AWS operating margins are around 35%. Keep in mind that could go up, it
could go down if the competitive environment gets tougher. But let's say they are able to keep that number,
right? In that 20% scenario I ran you through, in 2036 the company would be throwing off $330 billion in annual
operating profit just from the AWS side of the business. [laughter] Oh my gosh. So, in a more conservative in a more
conservative scenario, you could say maybe the company's throwing off 200 billion or $250 billion a year in
operating profit just from AWS. We're not talking the advertising business. We're not talking the
e-commerce business. We're not talking about any other future businesses they start or any other future businesses
they acquire. We're just talking AWS right now. Right now, you start to say, "Okay, shoot. Now I see why they're
spending so much." Right? You could start throwing off 200300 billion a year in operating profit just from that
business unit. That's big money. Now you're talking about you're getting a great payback.
You I mean you could be talking about you're getting the the 200 billion you're spending this year. You get that
back in in you know months, not even a full year down the road. That's incredible. Now if we think about where
the valuation of Amazon's going long term, right? So you know they got their AWS business
which is the big dog right advertising business we should ex you know that's been growing very nicely that should
continue to blow up over the next you know decade the retail businesses subscriptions should continue to boom as
people order more and stuff like basically the way I look at Amazon is this is a company that should be
bringing in 2 to3 billion a year in revenue 10 years from now okay they're going to cross likely a billion dollars
in revenue uh I mean excuse me a trillion in revenue. They're going to cross a trillion dollars. It's a
trillion a year, by the way. They're going to cross a trillion dollars of revenue likely in 2 to three years from
now in terms of they're doing a trillion dollars plus in revenue a year. So, in 10 years, they should be able to do 2
to3 trillion per year in revenue. Okay? Of that, I think they'll be able to throw off about $500 billion roughly.
Maybe it's 400 billion, maybe it's 500 billion, maybe it's 600 billion or 700 billion, right? I think roughly $500
billion a year in net income which you know you could easily say a 20p is fair for a company like Amazon they'll still
be growing at that point in time right and you're at a 10 trillion plus dollar market cap a decade from now right now
AI did their own valuation here and they got to 10 trillion plus company that's where I believe Amazon's going over the
next decade we're going to a 10 trillion plus dollar company here right and I know these numbers sound big because we
They have no $10 trillion company. Now, what's the biggest company in the world? I believe it's Nvidia. And I believe
Nvidia is what, a 4 trillion something dollar company right now. So, to say 10 trillion, it sounds big. Dude, when I
got in the stock market, we couldn't even imagine a trillion dollar company. Now, we got a bunch of trillion dollar
companies. Now, we got a bunch of multi- trillion dollar companies. When I first got in the market 0809 shoot I remember
seeing companies like you know Proctor and Gamble and Exon Mobile you know at 200 billion 300 billion mark caps. These
were the biggest market caps in the world. It was crazy. I remember getting hired at Quicktrip in 2010 and I
remember looking at Apple stock and you know Apple stock at that time gosh I can't remember what the valuation was. I
think it was like 500 billion or some some crazy number 600 billion and it was like oh my gosh like they can't get any
bigger than this like that's insane right and now Apple easily commands a3 trillion plus dollar valuation on it
right so when we talk about a decade from now $10 trillion market cap just understand I don't think Amazon will be
the only 10 trillion company 10 years from now they're probably going to be one of several companies that are 10
trillion plus market cap right so something to keep in mind there I think Amazon's a perfect example of why I love
stock picking and having a long-term mindset, right? I love being able to look into a company like Amazon and be
able to run numbers, run projections, and try to find a company that I believe is a safer bet than the S&P 500, but
that could likely outperform the S&P 500 significantly over the next decade, right? And I think that's a perfect
example is Amazon, right? Also, long having a long-term mindset. It's very easy to get caught up into the short
term of, oh, you know, people are spending a lot of money right now and that's going to hit the depreciation.
All those things matter in the short term, right? They all do. And what's going to happen with tariffs and what's
Trump up to and what's the Fed up to and blah blah blah, right? What's the economy doing in the short term? Like
all these things, they all matter, but they're all short-term things. They come and they go and companies like Amazon
remain. When Amazon was founded, Bill Clinton was the president of the United States. Okay? Bill Clinton
and then it was George Bush and then it was Obama and then it was Trump and then it was Biden and then it was Trump,
right? And so all these presidents come and go. All these geopolitical things come and go. Deflation, inflation comes
and goes, right? It's mostly inflation. Uh good economies, bad economies, okay economies come and go, right? Monetary
policy changes come and go. Raising of interest rates, decreases of interest rates come and go. Fed presidents come
and go. It all comes and goes. It's all and yet Amazon remains and gets bigger, bigger, stronger, stronger, right? And
that's the thing with great companies. And that's why it pays to really stay focused on the long term because there's
just so many times you could have got caught up in the short term with Amazon, right? Oh, they're spending a lot. H
they're spending so much on this e-commerce infrastructure and look at the e-commerce business loses the money.
Why are they spending so much? Like there was a lot of debate and questions about that 10, 15 years ago, right? Oh
my gosh, they're spending so much. Like they're building all these warehouses. They're getting all these trucks.
They're going to do their own delivery networks. There's no way they're going to make money off this. They're only
going to charge blah blah blah blah blah blah, you know? You got to you got to put the trust in
the big dogs that run these companies and they know what they do and honestly they got a pretty impressive track
record, right? Doesn't mean they can't make mistakes and they will make mistakes, but doesn't mean they're
perfect, but man, they do a pretty dang good job over time, right? Have a long-term mindset. Try to find great
companies, right? Okay. Next up here, uh, three non- tech stocks I love. Okay. And then we'll get to my top five SAS
stocks. Well, number one is Cake. This is a stock I have loved for years. If you watch my channel religiously, the
amount of times you probably heard me talk about cake and feature it on three stocks I'm buying and five stocks I'm
buying and all those sorts of videos is a lot, right? It's a great company. It's made me $70,000 of profit so far. It's
that doesn't even include all the dividends it pays me out over time, right? And when it comes to Cheesecake,
they got the ATM machine, which is Cheesecake Factory, but then they have North Italia, which is expanding across
the United States and will continue to over the next decade. And they have Flower Child that's expanding all over
the United States over the next decade and will continue to, right? And they got a bunch of concepts behind those
concepts that are next up essentially. And so Cake's just a growth engine with a core business. They got a core
business with Cheesecake Factory that's an absolute profit machine, right? And then they have all these growth concepts
coming behind it. So it's like I think it's one of the most perfect I think it's the most perfect restaurant stock
I've ever seen. I've never seen a restaurant stock that you could get an ATM machine for an a core business model
with a bunch of major growth concepts coming behind it. You've never seen that before. Like if you think about like
Chipotle, Chipotle was, you know, like a super expanding concept, but it wasn't like they had a core business that was
like super profitable in those days, right? Um, you know, you you could go through almost everybody like Texas
Roadhouse was kind of a onetrick pony. It's not like they had a bunch of growth concepts coming behind them and things
like that. Like, you know, even though they technically do own a couple other concepts, but those are kind of like
joke concepts compared to like a North Italian, a flowerchild. So, you really go through it and it's just like this is
a very special company. This is a 101 in the restaurant space, like something we've never really seen before, right?
And so, here are my projections for Cake. This is my bull case for Cake. I have them doing 9% revenue growth on
average per year over the next several years. Keep in mind, stuff's always getting more expensive. So basically
cake can get 2 to 3% of revenue growth per year just based upon inflation right so that's something to kind of keep in
mind there so you're going to b you're almost guaranteed to get two to 3%age of growth from that then you get a few
other percentage revenue growth from North Italia and flowerchild and the other concepts expanding and then you
know as far as uh cheesecake brand goes you just got to do a little more volume right and you know you can see how you
can get to a 7% or maybe even a 9% growth growth rate for the bold case I have a 9% growth rate here right net
income growth 11% I had them outstripping revenue when it comes to net income and so you know if you got a
restaurant concept like cake growing 9% top line 11% bottom line 28 to 33p is pretty fair which gives me a kag are
easily in the mid20s to high 20s here very attractive right this is my base case just a fancy way of saying what I
expect 7% revenue growth on average for the next four years 9% net income growth right 25 to 30p be fair for a company
like Cake growing at those sorts of growth rates and we're talking a low 20s Kaggar here for Cake. This stock's on
its way to 100 plus and that's why I hold Cake and it's going to 100 plus, baby. Okay. And here's the other thing
when it comes to Cake Pays me a dividend every 3 months. Pays me 27 per every share I own, right? And so that means I
make $877 every 3 months paid out to my public account, right? Which then I can go buy
more cake shares of or buy other stocks with. And then obviously I own cake across portfolios. So they pay me a lot
of dividend money all the time and I take that dividend money and go buy other stocks with it. It's beautiful,
beautiful dealio in regards to cake. So cake is a very very special stock. I think it's very underrated. I don't
think you know and keep in mind with the dividends like they're probably not going to up their dividends much over
the next few years because they need to spend that money really on North Italia expans expansion and flower child
expansion. But just keep in mind those are going to produce unbelievable profits which then longer term if they
want to pay much fatter, bigger dividends, they can. They can. Okay, so just keep that in mind. Number two or
three is ELF. ELF's another great example of a stock that's non- techrelated that I absolutely love. This
is a stock that has performed tremendous for me over the years. It's a very volatile stock in the past couple years.
A lot of drama. I mean, you know, there's a lot of moving parts. Like, they bought several brands. Um, those
brands are looking phenomenal, especially in regards to road. That's a gamecher for the company. Uh, growth
rates were ridiculous at one point for them. Those growth rates slowed down. You had the tariff drama. You just had a
lot of moving parts. In regards to ELF here, okay, but at the end of the day, this is a great growth company that puts
up their numbers. Based upon my projections for ELF, my bull case, I have the stock going to $238 to $272 in
my my bull case. Come 2029 for 80ome dollar stock is pretty attractive. My base case, just a fancy
way of saying what I actually expect, I have the stock going to $160 to $187 a share come 2029.
That's tremendous upside from here essentially, right? So, ELF absolutely a company I love.
boring stock cosmetics. I like to make money, you know. Making money to me is not boring. It's just
never gets boring. I'm amazed. I'm like, you know, you think you get bored of making money. I just never get bored.
It's just always fun, right? Next one up here, number three of three is this one, SoFi. Non techreated technically. Um,
even though some people would say, well, it's kind of a fintech, and that's true, but SoFi is really the future of
banking. And you really look at their how many members they've attracted, the the revenue trends, the margin trends,
and those sorts of things, it's unbelievable. We're up 134% on the stock up $56,000.
Um, which is a very small number compared to something like ELF, which is up over, you know, we call it
around,00%. Right? But SOA has been a great stock for me. I think it's going to continue to be a great stock for
years to go in the future. And uh the thing with Anthony Nodto running the company is as long as he risk manages
company properly which that man you know he comes a long time ago from Goldman Sachs. You really learn about risk
management management in a company like Goldman Sachs right as long as he continues to run this company from a
riskmanagement standpoint like the world is theirs. Like the thing for not is he just got to not screw it up. It's as
simple as that. You have a company here that's so good it's like a racehorse. You just got to not screw it up, man. As
long as you don't screw it up, like the world is theirs. It's unbelievable. The growth rates this company has is
unbelievable. So, SoFi, uh, the future of banking. As simple as that, right? I would think an honorable mention, an
honorable mention for a non- tech stock I love is Nike. Nike is an honorable mention here. The turnaround's clear as
day now at this point in time for Nike. Uh, Elliott Hill is doing an amazing job. actually had a really good
interview recently uh with Bloomberg that I really liked. But yeah, Nike definitely uh the turn like the there's
not a question about the turnaround anymore at this point in time. Like you look at the North American numbers,
they're great. Uh the China numbers will likely start to turn as this year goes along and get better and better. So
Nike, honorable mention. Okay, next up here we got a SAS apocalypse going on for all these SAS stocks. Let me give
you my top five SAS stocks ranked in order. Keep in mind, let me say this first. I am buying SAS stocks very
heavily in the first quarter. That's something I telegraphed I would do seeing the weakness and I'm like, I'm
trying to get my hands on as many shares of some of these great SAS stocks as I possibly can here in the first quarter.
That does not mean I'm done buying them. I'm going to probably buy these stocks for the whole year, but the aggressive
buys is really in this first quarter because this is where a lot of the damage is occurring essentially. And so
there are there's no doubt there's some SAS stocks that are going to be replaced, right? There's some that are
going to be irrelevant or have trouble growing their businesses and things like that. There'll be some that will be
value traps, right? And you can make arguments that if you think these companies aren't going to really grow
very much over the next several years, you can make an argument that many of these SAS stocks will be value traps in
the end. That's a fair debate that can be made there, right? But the future I see involves these companies growing at
very strong singledigit or low double-digit growth rates over the coming years and net net income growing
at even a faster clip and earnings per share growing at even a faster clip because they don't have to spend the way
these hyperscalers are having to spend on on their businesses, right? So they can do big share buybacks. Okay, so
let's rank these my top five here. Number one, this is the best buy in my opinion in the SAS space and it is CRM.
It is Salesforce. I think this is a, you know, least risky of the bunch. We're looking at Salesforce now at a forward P
of 14 14. Next year, earnings per share growth expected to be around 14%. Next year, revenue growth expected to be
around 9%. I mean, gez, I expect Salesforce to come in and beat numbers throughout the year. They have a full
suite of products that they sell to their customers. You know, to just, you know, people are running these insane
conclusions that, you know, everything in software is going to be just replaced and, you know, sent out these companies
and you don't need these companies anymore and things like that. I think that's a far-fetched fairy tale is what
I would say in regards to this matter. So, Salesforce, I love that company. Beni off, I mean, do you want to bet
against Beni off? Come on. Come on now. You don't think Ben Off's going to make like people are only viewing it from the
negative angle here when it comes to these SAS companies and for somebody like Salesforce and all these others,
right? They're only viewing it from the negative angle of like AI wave is only going to be negative for these
companies. It's going to hurt their growth rates. It's going to hurt their margin opportunities over the years.
It's going to hurt everything, right? It's going to make them irrelevant. And the way I see it is very different. And
Jensen's talked about this as well. I see this as being a great accelerator for the next wave of growth for a lot of
these software companies. I look at something like Agent Force and what they're doing there and what they're
going to do with other products in the AI space. And I think if anything, this is a huge opportunity for these
companies. And these companies have definitely had much slower growth rates the last year or two. And I think if
anything, this AI wave is not going to decrease growth. I think it's going to increase growth. I think we're going to
see growth accelerations even from companies like Salesforce. Number two of five is
now service. Now this one's next up here. So McDermott running this company 25 forward P on this one. So this one
seems a little higher in regards to forward P, but this one's got way better growth than really almost anything in
this space, right? Next year earnings per share growth expected to be about 19% for Service Now. Next year revenue
growth expected to be 17% for Service Now. Don't be surprised if they beat those numbers. Don't be surprised if
next year they come in with earnings per share growth that is in the 20% plus range and revenues that are around 20%
roughly or 19%. So, Service Now, I like that one a lot. And that one's so embedded into these big companies. Oh my
gosh. Like, you know. [sighs] Yeah. Yeah. Next one up here is a DBE. This is the one I think people could
make the strongest argument that it's a value trap, right? And that you're not going to make money and it's a PayPal
type situation. I think that's fair, but I just don't see it like that. I don't think people understand how Adobe makes
most of Adobe makes most of money from big companies from their marketing departments and creation and all those
sorts of things, right? And so Adobe is still necessary for doing all these high-end things that you want to do with
images and photos and for marketing and all that sort of stuff. And so when you're in the Adobe ecosystem, you could
get out, but it a lot of times it just doesn't make sense. It does not make sense. And many of Adobe's
businesses are growing exponentially right now. Not not talking like, oh, this business grew 3%. No, no, no.
They're growing. Like some of their businesses revenues are growing at unbelievable double-digit clips. And so
once again, we got another company here that people are only looking at as a negative. There's no opportunity for
Adobe when there's a huge opportunity for them to expand their business much more substantially in the AI space over
the coming years. Right. Next year earnings per share growth expected to be 13 plus% for Adobe. Next year, revenue
growth expected to be over 9% for the company. Don't be surprised. They're coming in beat numbers there. Okay,
number four or five is Inuit it tu on this one into it 154P. Next year earnings per share growth
expected to be about 13 and 12%. Next year revenue growth expected to be 12%. Inuit it man is a great company. Several
great business lines here. One of the best business models in the world. One of the greatest companies in the world.
And um you know there's just another one being thrown out right now. And the thing is with a lot of these
companies, I use their products. I can't replace their products. Are you kidding me? You know, like a good example is
like Salesforce. I use Slack. You know, I got small businesses. We use Slack. You think we're just going to be able to
replace Slack tomorrow? Like come on, man. Like this is just ridiculous. Into it. We've been using QuickBooks for
ever, right? You know, you think we're just going to switch out of QuickBooks because we
might be able to vibe code something. Come on, man. Like, what are we talking about here? It's just ridiculous. It's
just ridiculous. Um, so anyways, like guess what? Intuit's going to keep making money for me this year and future
years. Like just as simple as that, right? And so I'll keep helping add to their uh numbers, right? Like this just
is what it is. Next up here, number five, is oh, Palo Alto Network. So this company, you know, their stocks about
$151 after hours. I looked over their numbers initially and they look pretty good. But I got to do a deeper dive
here. But this one's actually gotten pretty interesting. Ford P on the stock as of tomorrow should be in the 30s,
right? But with, you know, this is a company that should grow double digits for years to go in the future. And if
you think about cyber security and the AI wave, like this isn't going to go away. This isn't just going away. Like
come on, man. So that's another one I see as a big opportunity. There's a lot going on short term. There's going to
continue to be a lot going on short term, right? Focus on the long term. Focus on great companies, adding more
ownership of great companies. GVD, growth, value, dividends. The short term will be the short term. All these fears
about this and fears about that and SAS apocalypse and blah blah blah, right? It's going to be what it's going to be
and it will pass and great companies will remain great. They'll continue to increase their revenues or continue to
increase their profits, their margins, all those good things, right? And the short term will be what the short term
is. So, just stay focused on long term. buy companies that you're going to pat yourself on the back and say great job
for buying the stock 3 years ago, 5 years ago, things like that, right? That's what I do. You know, ELF's a
great example. ELF, you know, 1100% up since we bought that stock years ago, back in 2019. ELF's been through so much
so many different growth rates. The company had so much drama, so much this that there were short reports back in
the day, you know, just a million different things. And yet, at the end of the day, it gave me 1100% gain, right? I
think a lot more gains in the future. And so stay focused on great companies, stay diversified, growth stocks, value
stocks, dividend stocks. There's opportunities in all three of those. And uh continue to build stronger and
stronger day after day, month after month, year after year. Okay? I appreciate you for joining me. As
always, if you're an individual that wants access to all of my course curriculums, you want access to my
private community, if you want access to exclusive weekly videos, my advanced software, thousandx.com, all that sort
of stuff, that will be pinned comment down there today. It's really a group mainly for $100,000 plus net worth
individuals. However, you can always apply if you have less than $100,000 net worth. It just might not be the right
fit for you. Once you join us in there, we'll send you steel membership cards, all that good stuff. Much love and have
a great
In 2026, the tech sector faces significant headwinds including sharp declines in major tech stocks like Nvidia, Meta, and Salesforce, with losses ranging from 16% to over 40%. Additionally, the software ETF IGV is down 24% year-to-date, and commodity volatility, such as a 40% drop in silver prices, compounds market uncertainty. These challenges highlight a tough environment for tech growth in the short term.
Micron and SanDisk have delivered exceptional YTD gains (274% and 1150%, respectively) driven by booming memory demand from AI growth. However, memory markets are cyclical and prone to boom-bust phases, with a potential downturn anticipated around 2027-2028. Their focus on niche AI customers poses concentration risks, limiting long-term stock appreciation. Therefore, while strong now, these stocks may trade sideways and carry cyclical risk in the near future.
Amazon is currently facing short-term pressures due to heavy capital expenditures and rising depreciation costs linked to AWS expansion. Nevertheless, AWS margins are near 35% with rapid growth, and Amazon's revenues could reach $2-$3 trillion within a decade, with net income around $500 billion. This positions Amazon to become a multi-trillion-dollar company, making patience and a long-term investment horizon key to capitalizing on its sustainable growth story.
High-quality non-tech stocks include Cheesecake Factory, with consistent revenue growth and dividend payouts; ELF Beauty, exhibiting strong growth supported by acquisitions; SoFi Technologies, poised as a future-focused fintech platform with improving margins; and Nike, showing signs of a clear turnaround in key markets. These companies combine growth potential, profitability, and strategic positioning outside the volatile tech sector, offering diversification benefits.
SaaS stocks have experienced significant declines, creating potential buying opportunities but also risks of value traps. Top-ranked SaaS stocks to consider are Salesforce, ServiceNow, Adobe, Intuit, and Palo Alto Networks, each with strong growth prospects and market leadership. Gradual accumulation with a focus on long-term growth and AI integration is recommended to navigate this sector's volatility effectively.
The 2026 market demands a long-term perspective with diversification across growth, value, and dividend stocks to balance risks. Investors should focus on resilient companies in both tech and non-tech sectors, remain patient during investment cycles, and consider gradual accumulation of quality stocks. Staying informed through educational resources and community support enhances decision-making in volatile conditions.
Investors can access private investment groups like thousandx.com, which offer education, community support, and advanced analytics to deepen their market understanding. Additionally, the video references detailed stock evaluations and strategic guides on navigating market volatility and downturns, accessible through platforms like lunaNotes.io, providing valuable tools for informed investment strategies.
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